Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Monday, April 23

Outlook Images

any severe low / uncertain

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

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Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 200845
SPC AC 200845

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Valid 231200Z - 281200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Upper low over the Southeast states at the beginning of the extended
period (12Z D4/Monday) is expected to slowly drift
northward/northwestward on D4/Monday and D5/Tuesday before
eventually becoming absorbed into a shortwave trough progressing
eastward/southeastward from the Plains into the eastern CONUS on
D6/Wednesday and D7/Thursday. More northerly trajectory of this
shortwave trough coupled with only modest moisture return should
mitigate the severe-weather potential through next week.

..Mosier.. 04/20/2018

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, April 20
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Saturday, April 21
ANY SEVERE: 5%
Sunday, April 22
ANY SEVERE: 5%
Monday, April 23
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, April 24
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, April 25
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, April 26
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, April 27
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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