Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Outlook for Sunday, February 17

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States on Sunday.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 161722

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States on Sunday.

Synopsis and Discussion

A large-scale, positively tilted upper trough will persist over much of the CONUS on Sunday. A couple elevated thunderstorms may occur early in the period across parts of the TN Valley into the Appalachians as low-level warm air advection strengthens ahead of a weak mid-level impulse moving northeastward from the mid MS Valley into the OH Valley. Very weak instability will preclude a severe threat across this region. Other thunderstorms may form along a southeastward-moving cold front across parts of the Southeast through the day, although coverage should remain isolated at best due to negligible large-scale ascent with neutral to slightly rising mid-level height tendencies. Farther west, very isolated lightning strikes may occur across portions of coastal northern/central CA with cold mid-level temperatures beneath an upper trough. The prospect for thunderstorms farther east across the Great Basin and lower CO River Valley currently appears too limited for a general thunderstorm area.

MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD

Tornado: <2% - None Wind: <5% - None Hail: <5% - None

..Gleason.. 02/16/2019

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

National Risk Overview

Saturday, February 16
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Sunday, February 17
ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, February 18
ANY SEVERE: low
Tuesday, February 19
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, February 20
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, February 21
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, February 22
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Saturday, February 23
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.


About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.