Severe thunderstorms with considerable potential for producing damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are likely across much of the southern through mid Atlantic Coast region, particularly across the Carolinas into southern/central Virginia this afternoon and evening.

Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Saturday, April 20

Outlook Summary

No severe thunderstorms are expected across the CONUS on Saturday or Saturday night.

Outlook Images

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any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 190534

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

No severe thunderstorms are expected across the CONUS on Saturday or Saturday night.

DISCUSSION

An upper-level low will move across the eastern states on Saturday as a surface low moves northward into the lower Great Lakes. Thunderstorms will be possible to the east of the low across parts of eastern New York and southern New England. Instability is expected to be too weak for a severe threat in those locations. In the western U.S., an upper-level trough is forecast to move to near the coast of California with a lead shortwave trough moving into the southern Rockies. Thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon from near the west coast trough eastward to ahead of the southern Rockies shortwave trough. These storms are also expected to remain below severe limits due to weak instability.

MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD

Tornado: <2% - None Wind: <5% - None Hail: <5% - None

..Broyles.. 04/19/2019

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

National Risk Overview

Friday, April 19
TORNADO: 10%
HAIL: 5%
WIND: 45%
Saturday, April 20
ANY SEVERE: low
Sunday, April 21
ANY SEVERE: 5%
Monday, April 22
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, April 23
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, April 24
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, April 25
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, April 26
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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