Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Tuesday, February 3

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Friday, January 30	potential too low
Day 5	Saturday, January 31	potential too low
Day 6	Sunday, February 1	potential too low
Day 7	Monday, February 2	potential too low
Day 8	Tuesday, February 3	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 270950 SPC AC 270950

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026

Valid 301200Z - 041200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather potential in the extended forecast period is very low. Broad-scale eastern US troughing will strengthen this weekend as a clipper-style trough dives out of Canada an rapidly intensifies along the Eastern Seaboard. A surface low will develop over the eastern Gulf and rapidly deepen over the western Atlantic into early next week. Western US ridging and strong surface high pressure over the central US will keep substantial inland moisture return unlikely for the foreseeable future.

..Lyons.. 01/27/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Tuesday, January 27: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Wednesday, January 28: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, January 29: ANY SEVERE: low
Friday, January 30: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, January 31: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, February 1: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, February 2: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, February 3: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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