Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like ~~lofi music~~ whatever music Hayley put on and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

Outlook for Wednesday, February 4

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Saturday, January 31	potential too low
Day 5	Sunday, February 1	potential too low
Day 6	Monday, February 2	potential too low
Day 7	Tuesday, February 3	potential too low
Day 8	Wednesday, February 4	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 280956 SPC AC 280956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Valid 311200Z - 051200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A highly amplified mid-level flow pattern over the CONUS will continue through this weekend and into the first part of next week. A prominent upper low will amplify over the East Coast as a strong surface cyclone develops offshore. Ridging over the western US will support strong high pressure and a cold/dry continental air mass over much of the US. This will largely suppress inland moisture transport, outside of far south FL, and subsequent thunderstorm potential for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/28/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Wednesday, January 28: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, January 29: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Friday, January 30: ANY SEVERE: low
Saturday, January 31: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, February 1: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, February 2: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, February 3: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, February 4: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.