Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Friday, February 6

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Monday, February 2	potential too low
Day 5	Tuesday, February 3	potential too low
Day 6	Wednesday, February 4	potential too low
Day 7	Thursday, February 5	potential too low
Day 8	Friday, February 6	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Valid 021200Z - 071200Z

DISCUSSION

Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.

..Broyles.. 01/30/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, January 30: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, January 31: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, February 1: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, February 2: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, February 3: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, February 4: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, February 5: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, February 6: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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