Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Saturday, February 7

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, February 3	potential too low
Day 5	Wednesday, February 4	potential too low
Day 6	Thursday, February 5	potential too low
Day 7	Friday, February 6	potential too low
Day 8	Saturday, February 7	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 310958 SPC AC 310958

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Valid 031200Z - 081200Z

DISCUSSION

Embedded within broad midlevel troughing over the eastern half of the CONUS, a shortwave trough will overspread the OH/TN Valleys and Southeast on Days 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday. During that time, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible along an accompanying cold front as it moves from east TX across the central Gulf Coast. However, limited moisture/buoyancy ahead of the front should limit severe potential.

Thereafter, a cold/dry post-frontal air mass will preclude thunderstorms across the CONUS.

..Weinman.. 01/31/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Saturday, January 31: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, February 1: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Monday, February 2: ANY SEVERE: low
Tuesday, February 3: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, February 4: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, February 5: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, February 6: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, February 7: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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