An outbreak of tornadoes, some potentially long-track and violent, is expected today into this evening over portions of northwest Texas into western and central Oklahoma. More-isolated but still potentially dangerous severe weather, including tornadoes, is possible in surrounding parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas.

Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0195 for Eastern New Mexico, Oklahoma Panhandle, Texas Panhandle and South Plains
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0195

Locations Affected

  • Eastern New Mexico
  • Oklahoma Panhandle
  • Texas Panhandle and South Plains
  • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorms should grow in coverage and intensify through sunrise and beyond, offering predominantly a large-hail threat for the first few hours, with isolated severe gusts possible. As storms organize further into greater moisture and instability toward sunrise, the damaging-wind risk will increase as well.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL5
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 195
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    155 AM CDT Mon May 20 2019
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
      Eastern New Mexico
      Oklahoma Panhandle
      Texas Panhandle and South Plains
    
    * Effective this Monday morning from 155 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
        inches in diameter likely
      Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
    
    SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should grow in coverage and intensify
    through sunrise and beyond, offering predominantly a large-hail
    threat for the first few hours, with isolated severe gusts possible.
     As storms organize further into greater moisture and instability
    toward sunrise, the damaging-wind risk will increase as well.
    
    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
    statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles east southeast
    of Roswell NM to 25 miles north northeast of Guymon OK. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.
    
    &&
    
    AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
    23035.
    
    ...Edwards

    National Risk Overview

    Monday, May 20
    TORNADO: 30%
    HAIL: 45%
    WIND: 45%
    Tuesday, May 21
    ANY SEVERE: 30%
    Wednesday, May 22
    ANY SEVERE: 5%
    Thursday, May 23
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Friday, May 24
    ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
    Saturday, May 25
    ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
    Sunday, May 26
    ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
    Monday, May 27
    ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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