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Outlook for Friday, August 12

Outlook Summary

The threat for severe thunderstorms is expected to be relatively low on Friday.

Outlook Images

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Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 100700

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Wed Aug 10 2022

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

The threat for severe thunderstorms is expected to be relatively low on Friday.

Synopsis

Only minor changes to the large-scale pattern are expected on Friday, with a seasonably deep mid/upper-level trough persisting over the eastern CONUS, while an upper cyclone moves slowly northward off of the Pacific Northwest coast. A cold front will continue moving across parts of the Southeast. Another boundary will take on a more north-south orientation from the Ozark Plateau into the northern Plains and upper Midwest, with the northern portion moving northward as a warm front, while the southern portion acts as more of a backdoor cold front as it pushes westward.

At this time, the threat for organized severe thunderstorms appears relatively low on Friday. A few strong storms will be possible across the Southeast Friday afternoon, though the cold front may tend to outpace the stronger deep-layer flow/shear spreading in from the northwest. Scattered thunderstorms will also again be possible across parts of the interior West, though the stronger deep-layer flow/shear is expected to be displaced from the greater moisture/instability and storm coverage.

..Dean.. 08/10/2022

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

National Risk Overview

Wednesday, August 10
TORNADO: low
HAIL: 5%
WIND: 5%
Thursday, August 11
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Friday, August 12
ANY SEVERE: low
Saturday, August 13
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Sunday, August 14
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Monday, August 15
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Tuesday, August 16
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Wednesday, August 17
ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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