new youtube channel - we've just launched a new experimental youtube channel over at tornado HQ, including severe weather outlook videos.
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 100742 SPC AC 100742
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0242 AM CDT Wed Aug 10 2022
Valid 131200Z - 181200Z
DISCUSSION
Organized severe-thunderstorm potential is expected to be relatively low through the extended-range period. A seasonably deep mid/upper-level trough is forecast to persist across the eastern CONUS into next week, and possibly retrograde slightly into portions of the central CONUS. Periodic frontal passages associated with this trough are expected to keep richer low-level moisture confined to near the Gulf Coast, limiting the potential for substantial destabilization east of the Rockies. Any notable severe potential would most likely evolve from the northwesterly flow regime that will be in place from the northern Plains into the mid-MS Valley and Southeast, but confidence in the likelihood, location, and timing of any such scenario remains quite low at this time.
..Dean.. 08/10/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.
SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.