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Outlook for Friday, October 10

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Friday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 090507

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1207 AM CDT Thu Oct 09 2025

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Friday.

Synopsis

An upper trough just offshore from the Pacific Coast will move inland on Friday. Meanwhile, the NHC has Tropical Storm Priscilla weakening as it approaches Baja by early Saturday. Moisture associated with Priscilla will stream northward across portions of the Southwest and Great Basin. As the Pacific trough moves eastward coincident with increasing moisture, isolated thunderstorms will be possible from the Southwest into the Pacific Northwest/northern Rockies. While enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will be in place, weak instability will limit severe potential.

Further east, a shortwave upper trough over the Upper Midwest will develop southeast across Great Lakes and Lower Ohio Valley. A surface cold front will develop southeast across the Upper/Mid-MS Valley in tandem with the shortwave trough. Modest boundary-layer moisture ahead of the front will support weak destabilization sufficient for isolated thunderstorms.

Additional isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the FL Peninsula and northward near/just offshore the coastal Carolinas within a moist and weakly unstable airmass. Poor lapse rates will limit instability and severe storms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 10/09/2025

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

National Risk Overview

Thursday, October 9: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Friday, October 10: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, October 11: ANY SEVERE: low
Sunday, October 12: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, October 13: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Tuesday, October 14: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Wednesday, October 15: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, October 16: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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