Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Tuesday, December 9

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Friday, December 5	potential too low
Day 5	Saturday, December 6	potential too low
Day 6	Sunday, December 7	potential too low
Day 7	Monday, December 8	potential too low
Day 8	Tuesday, December 9	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020844 SPC AC 020844

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025

Valid 051200Z - 101200Z

DISCUSSION

Multiple mid-level troughs, embedded within a broader northwesterly flow regime, will progress across the CONUS through the remainder of the week into early next week. Multiple rounds of surface high pressure will reinforce a cool, stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential through the extended forecast period. Thunderstorms could develop over FL during the Days 4-6 period (Friday-Sunday) as low-level moisture moves ashore. However, the severe risk appears very low this weekend.

..Squitieri.. 12/02/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Tuesday, December 2: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: low; WIND: 5%
Wednesday, December 3: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, December 4: ANY SEVERE: low
Friday, December 5: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, December 6: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, December 7: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, December 8: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, December 9: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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