Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Wednesday, December 10

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Saturday, December 6	potential too low
Day 5	Sunday, December 7	potential too low
Day 6	Monday, December 8	potential too low
Day 7	Tuesday, December 9	potential too low
Day 8	Wednesday, December 10	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 030805 SPC AC 030805

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CST Wed Dec 03 2025

Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

DISCUSSION

Multiple mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS while translating within a broader west-northwest to east-southeasterly upper level flow regime through the Days 4-8 period. Periodic bouts of surface high pressure will reinforce a statically stable, cool and dry airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm development. One exception will be with the Gulf Coast states early next week, when a surface low preceding one of the embedded mid-level troughs will encourage onshore flow from the Gulf. Should this occur, enough buoyancy will be in place (along with deep-layer ascent) to support thunderstorms. However, buoyancy may be too weak to support a severe threat.

..Squitieri.. 12/03/2025

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Wednesday, December 3: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, December 4: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Friday, December 5: ANY SEVERE: low
Saturday, December 6: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, December 7: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, December 8: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, December 9: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, December 10: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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