Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like ~~lofi music~~ whatever music Hayley put on and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

Outlook for Friday, April 24

Outlook Images

any severe predictability too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Monday, April 20	potential too low
Day 5	Tuesday, April 21	potential too low
Day 6	Wednesday, April 22	predictability too low
Day 7	Thursday, April 23	predictability too low
Day 8	Friday, April 24	predictability too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 170741 SPC AC 170741

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0241 AM CDT Fri Apr 17 2026

Valid 201200Z - 251200Z

DISCUSSION

A dry, continental airmass will persist across most of the CONUS for the first part of next week. Severe weather chances will start to increase by the middle of the week and into the later part of the week. Forecast guidance consistently shows mid 60s F dewpoints across the Plains and into the Midwest. However, aloft the pattern remains quite uncertain. The ECMWF and the GEFS and EPS all show a developing large-scale trough centered across the western CONUS with multiple shortwave troughs which could result in severe weather Day6/Wed to Day 8/Fri. However, the 00Z GFS and the EC-AIFS show a consolidated mid-level trough which could result in a much more substantial severe weather event across the central/southern Plains. At this time, uncertainty is too high for specific risk areas, but Day6/Wed to Day 8/Fri will likely feature multiple days of severe weather across portions of the central/southern Plains.

..Bentley.. 04/17/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, April 17: TORNADO: 10%; HAIL: 30%; WIND: 45%
Saturday, April 18: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 15%
Sunday, April 19: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, April 20: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, April 21: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, April 22: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, April 23: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Friday, April 24: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.