Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Monday, October 5

Outlook Summary

Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

tornado severe weather outlook for Monday, October 5

wind low

wind severe weather outlook for Monday, October 5

hail low

hail severe weather outlook for Monday, October 5

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 060047

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2026

Valid 060100Z - 061200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.

Synopsis

A 500 mb upper trough will continue to eject into the Atlantic as surface high pressure sets in from the Great Lakes to the East Coast. Showers and thunderstorms will continue along portions of the Gulf Coast to the FL Peninsula through tonight, where an unstable boundary layer, driven by 70s F surface dewpoints, remains in place. A few lightning flashes may also occur over the next couple of hours with ongoing isolated thunderstorms over the Great Basin, southern CO/northern NM, and the Upper MS Valley given cooler temperatures aloft.

..Squitieri.. 10/06/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

National Risk Overview

Monday, October 5: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Tuesday, October 6: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Wednesday, October 7: ANY SEVERE: low
Thursday, October 8: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, October 9: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, October 10: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Sunday, October 11: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, October 12: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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