Severe Weather Outlook

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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week

Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.

Overview of the threat for the next few days

Saturday, July 18

Sunday, July 19

Monday, July 20

Tuesday, July 21

Wednesday, July 22

Thursday, July 23

Friday, July 24

Saturday, July 25

Outlook for Saturday, July 18

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast this afternoon and evening. Damaging gusts will be the primary threat, but a few tornadoes are possible, including perhaps a strong tornado.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado 5%

wind 45%

hail 5%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 181951

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 182000Z - 191200Z

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND MID-ATLANTIC

### THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF WESTERN TO CENTRAL MONTANA

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast this afternoon and evening. Damaging gusts will be the primary threat, but a few tornadoes are possible, including perhaps a strong tornado.

20z Update

The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments required based on recent convective trends. Lingering clouds and stratiform precipitation across northern NY and into VT/NH continues to limit confidence in the degree of destabilization that will occur through the remainder of the day. Latest high-res ensemble guidance has captured recent trends and depicts limited potential for intense convection through this evening. Severe wind/hail probabilities have been reduced to reflect the decreasing potential. For additional short-term forecast details across the lower Great Lakes see MCD #1650.

Further west, the 5/15% wind probabilities have been expanded slightly eastward to account for trends in recent guidance that depict some threat for severe winds across central MT later tonight as thunderstorms begin to cluster. Given building buoyancy, strong shear across the region (per recent mesoanalysis estimates), and building cumulus within the terrain, environmental trends appear to support the eastward expansion. See MCD #1651 for additional short-term details.

..Moore.. 07/18/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1120 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026/

Mid-Atlantic to the lower Great Lakes this afternoon/evening

Ongoing convection across central PA/NY will continue to spread eastward through early afternoon within a warm advection zone along and north of a surface warm front. The warm front will move northward today in advance of a surface cyclone and associated midlevel trough now in the vicinity of Lake Huron. In the wake of the ongoing convection, destabilization will occur as boundary-layer dewpoints rise to near 70 F and surface temperatures into the 80s, resulting in moderate buoyancy in the warm sector. Destabilization will occur earlier immediately south-through-west of the ongoing storms across eastern PA/NJ, and a little later this afternoon into central NY.

Additional thunderstorm development is beginning in southwest PA and vicinity as of 16z and a continued increase in storms is expected into early-mid afternoon along a cold front and along pre-frontal confluence zones/lake-enhanced boundaries. A mixed convective mode (line segments and clusters) is expected, with embedded bowing segments and a chance for pre-frontal supercells in PA/NY/NJ where vertical shear and hodograph curvature will be larger along the warm front. Wind damage will be the primary severe threat with both the frontal convection and pre-frontal storms, with a few tornadoes possible with supercell structures and/or embedded mesovortices.

Northern Rockies late this afternoon/evening

Scattered thunderstorm development is expected later this afternoon/evening across western MT and vicinity, within the northwest fringe of the midlevel ridge and monsoonal moisture plume. Midlevel flow will be somewhat enhanced to the immediate southeast of a midlevel trough moving over southeast BC, thus some organized storm structures will be possible with faster storm motions compared to yesterday. Occasional severe outflow gusts and large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter will be the main threats.

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z

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Outlook for Sunday, July 19

Outlook Summary

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms may pose a risk for damaging wind gusts over the Carolinas and southeast Virginia, and over the Tennessee Valley Sunday afternoon. Strong to severe storms may also develop across parts of eastern Montana into North Dakota and Minnesota from late afternoon into the overnight period.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind 15%

hail 5%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 181730

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA INTO NORTH CAROLINA…AND OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS

### SUMMARY

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms may pose a risk for damaging wind gusts over the Carolinas and southeast Virginia, and over the Tennessee Valley Sunday afternoon. Strong to severe storms may also develop across parts of eastern Montana into North Dakota and Minnesota from late afternoon into the overnight period.

VA/Carolinas into the TN Valley

An upper trough will lift out of the Northeast on Sunday, with a trailing cold front extending from southern VA westward toward the KY/TN border during the afternoon. Ahead of the front, low 70s F dewpoints and heating will lead to 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE despite warmer air aloft. Modest west to northwest flow aloft will persist, with 500 mb speeds around 20 kt near the VA/NC portion of the front. Farther west into TN and AL, winds will be weaker but more northerly at 10-15 kt.

Storms are likely to develop along the length of the front by early afternoon, moving in a southeasterly direction. The most favorable combination of mean wind speeds and deep-layer shear will be from VA into NC, and corridors of damaging wind gusts may occur as various clusters form along the front.

Farther west, the very moist and uncapped air mass should lead to southward-moving storm clusters developing from TN into northern GA and AL through the afternoon. At least isolated damaging gusts appear likely.

Northern Plains

An upper ridge over the area will break down as a shortwave trough moves across MT and into the northern Plains late. Deep-layer shear will increase through the period with 40-50 kt. Storms should develop near the surface trough coincident with peak heating from ND into southeast MT, and forecast soundings show elongated hodographs and steep lapse rates favorable for a few supercells producing large hail and locally severe gusts. The severe risk will continue east/southeastward into SD and MN through the evening and overnight, as storm coverage increases with a southwesterly low-level jet and height falls. Damaging winds should be the main concern, though a large hail threat may persist if cellular modes should persist.

..Jewell.. 07/18/2026

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

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Outlook for Monday, July 20

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are probable across portions of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes vicinity on Monday. Swaths of damaging winds will be the most likely hazard, with isolated large hail as well. Isolated strong to damaging gusts may occur over parts of the Carolinas.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe 30%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 181934

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are probable across portions of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes vicinity on Monday. Swaths of damaging winds will be the most likely hazard, with isolated large hail as well. Isolated strong to damaging gusts may occur over parts of the Carolinas.

From Lake Superior to Iowa

A strong shortwave trough will move southeastward across the northern Plains and upper MS Valley on Monday, with 50-60 kt 500 mb winds across MN/IA/WI enhancing deep-layer shear. Early day storms may occur within the warm advection regime, with at least some threat of severe wind or hail. This activity may weaken during the day and give way to diurnal destabilization, with areas of strong instability developing. Notably, mid to high level winds will be quite strong, with highly elongated hodographs favoring both supercells and severe bows. Corridors of significant wind will be possible, with some models indicating a bimodal distribution (northern WI, and IA). However, the environment across the entire area ahead of cold front will conditionally support severe storms. Despite some uncertainties, the synoptically evident upper wave and ample instability support an upgrade to Enhanced Risk.

North Carolina

A weak surface low will develop over NC with strong daytime heating beneath modest northwest flow aloft. Mid 70s F dewpoints will contribute to MLCAPE over 2000 J/kg, with clusters of storms developing during the afternoon. Multicellular clusters appear likely, moving generally eastward with potential for locally damaging outflow winds.

..Jewell.. 07/18/2026

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

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Outlook for Tuesday, July 21

Outlook Images

any severe 15%

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, July 21	15%
Day 5	Wednesday, July 22	15%
Day 6	Thursday, July 23	predictability too low
Day 7	Friday, July 24	predictability too low
Day 8	Saturday, July 25	predictability too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 180757 SPC AC 180757

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 211200Z - 261200Z

DISCUSSION

Day 4-5/Tue-Wed – Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic Vicinity

An upper trough will pivot across the region on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing enhanced southerly flow aloft as a surface cold front sweeps east/southeast through Wednesday night. Ahead of the surface front, rich boundary layer moisture will be in place, and at least moderate destabilization should occur. Convection could be ongoing Tuesday morning across parts of IL/IN/Lower MI/western OH. The extent of this activity is unclear and will depend on the evolution of any potential MCS in the Day 3 period. Nevertheless, the downstream airmass across parts of the Ohio Valley will become favorable for scattered severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, likely in the form of one or more line segments organizing ahead of the advancing cold front. An additional area of severe storms will be possible on Tuesday across the Mid-Atlantic within a warm advection regime ahead of the approaching system over the Ohio Valley. Some areas could see more than one round of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday/Tuesday night.

By Wednesday, the severe risk should spread east from the Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas as the upper trough and surface cold front continue to shift east. It is uncertain how far north the severe risk may extend and probabilities may eventually need to be included across parts of the Northeast/New England. Where storms do form, damaging winds will be possible until the cold front moves offshore Wednesday evening/night.

Days 6-8/Thu-Sat

Upper troughing will persist across the eastern U.S. through the end of the forecast period, but deep-layer flow will weaken. High pressure in the wake of the cold frontal passage will preclude severe potential across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday through Saturday.

Across the Plains and western U.S., a strong upper anticyclone will park over the southern Plains, with an amplified upper ridge building into the northern Rockies. Some thunderstorm potential could develop across parts of the Plains as low-level moisture increases beneath the ridge. However, severe potential is uncertain as any potential would be driven by mesoscale features not well defined at this time frame, and as the upper ridge suppresses any large-scale support for organized severe thunderstorms.

..Leitman.. 07/18/2026

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Outlook for Wednesday, July 22

Outlook Images

any severe 15%

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, July 21	15%
Day 5	Wednesday, July 22	15%
Day 6	Thursday, July 23	predictability too low
Day 7	Friday, July 24	predictability too low
Day 8	Saturday, July 25	predictability too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 180757 SPC AC 180757

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 211200Z - 261200Z

DISCUSSION

Day 4-5/Tue-Wed – Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic Vicinity

An upper trough will pivot across the region on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing enhanced southerly flow aloft as a surface cold front sweeps east/southeast through Wednesday night. Ahead of the surface front, rich boundary layer moisture will be in place, and at least moderate destabilization should occur. Convection could be ongoing Tuesday morning across parts of IL/IN/Lower MI/western OH. The extent of this activity is unclear and will depend on the evolution of any potential MCS in the Day 3 period. Nevertheless, the downstream airmass across parts of the Ohio Valley will become favorable for scattered severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, likely in the form of one or more line segments organizing ahead of the advancing cold front. An additional area of severe storms will be possible on Tuesday across the Mid-Atlantic within a warm advection regime ahead of the approaching system over the Ohio Valley. Some areas could see more than one round of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday/Tuesday night.

By Wednesday, the severe risk should spread east from the Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas as the upper trough and surface cold front continue to shift east. It is uncertain how far north the severe risk may extend and probabilities may eventually need to be included across parts of the Northeast/New England. Where storms do form, damaging winds will be possible until the cold front moves offshore Wednesday evening/night.

Days 6-8/Thu-Sat

Upper troughing will persist across the eastern U.S. through the end of the forecast period, but deep-layer flow will weaken. High pressure in the wake of the cold frontal passage will preclude severe potential across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday through Saturday.

Across the Plains and western U.S., a strong upper anticyclone will park over the southern Plains, with an amplified upper ridge building into the northern Rockies. Some thunderstorm potential could develop across parts of the Plains as low-level moisture increases beneath the ridge. However, severe potential is uncertain as any potential would be driven by mesoscale features not well defined at this time frame, and as the upper ridge suppresses any large-scale support for organized severe thunderstorms.

..Leitman.. 07/18/2026

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Outlook for Thursday, July 23

Outlook Images

any severe predictability too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, July 21	15%
Day 5	Wednesday, July 22	15%
Day 6	Thursday, July 23	predictability too low
Day 7	Friday, July 24	predictability too low
Day 8	Saturday, July 25	predictability too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 180757 SPC AC 180757

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 211200Z - 261200Z

DISCUSSION

Day 4-5/Tue-Wed – Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic Vicinity

An upper trough will pivot across the region on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing enhanced southerly flow aloft as a surface cold front sweeps east/southeast through Wednesday night. Ahead of the surface front, rich boundary layer moisture will be in place, and at least moderate destabilization should occur. Convection could be ongoing Tuesday morning across parts of IL/IN/Lower MI/western OH. The extent of this activity is unclear and will depend on the evolution of any potential MCS in the Day 3 period. Nevertheless, the downstream airmass across parts of the Ohio Valley will become favorable for scattered severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, likely in the form of one or more line segments organizing ahead of the advancing cold front. An additional area of severe storms will be possible on Tuesday across the Mid-Atlantic within a warm advection regime ahead of the approaching system over the Ohio Valley. Some areas could see more than one round of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday/Tuesday night.

By Wednesday, the severe risk should spread east from the Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas as the upper trough and surface cold front continue to shift east. It is uncertain how far north the severe risk may extend and probabilities may eventually need to be included across parts of the Northeast/New England. Where storms do form, damaging winds will be possible until the cold front moves offshore Wednesday evening/night.

Days 6-8/Thu-Sat

Upper troughing will persist across the eastern U.S. through the end of the forecast period, but deep-layer flow will weaken. High pressure in the wake of the cold frontal passage will preclude severe potential across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday through Saturday.

Across the Plains and western U.S., a strong upper anticyclone will park over the southern Plains, with an amplified upper ridge building into the northern Rockies. Some thunderstorm potential could develop across parts of the Plains as low-level moisture increases beneath the ridge. However, severe potential is uncertain as any potential would be driven by mesoscale features not well defined at this time frame, and as the upper ridge suppresses any large-scale support for organized severe thunderstorms.

..Leitman.. 07/18/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

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Outlook for Friday, July 24

Outlook Images

any severe predictability too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, July 21	15%
Day 5	Wednesday, July 22	15%
Day 6	Thursday, July 23	predictability too low
Day 7	Friday, July 24	predictability too low
Day 8	Saturday, July 25	predictability too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 180757 SPC AC 180757

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 211200Z - 261200Z

DISCUSSION

Day 4-5/Tue-Wed – Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic Vicinity

An upper trough will pivot across the region on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing enhanced southerly flow aloft as a surface cold front sweeps east/southeast through Wednesday night. Ahead of the surface front, rich boundary layer moisture will be in place, and at least moderate destabilization should occur. Convection could be ongoing Tuesday morning across parts of IL/IN/Lower MI/western OH. The extent of this activity is unclear and will depend on the evolution of any potential MCS in the Day 3 period. Nevertheless, the downstream airmass across parts of the Ohio Valley will become favorable for scattered severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, likely in the form of one or more line segments organizing ahead of the advancing cold front. An additional area of severe storms will be possible on Tuesday across the Mid-Atlantic within a warm advection regime ahead of the approaching system over the Ohio Valley. Some areas could see more than one round of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday/Tuesday night.

By Wednesday, the severe risk should spread east from the Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas as the upper trough and surface cold front continue to shift east. It is uncertain how far north the severe risk may extend and probabilities may eventually need to be included across parts of the Northeast/New England. Where storms do form, damaging winds will be possible until the cold front moves offshore Wednesday evening/night.

Days 6-8/Thu-Sat

Upper troughing will persist across the eastern U.S. through the end of the forecast period, but deep-layer flow will weaken. High pressure in the wake of the cold frontal passage will preclude severe potential across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday through Saturday.

Across the Plains and western U.S., a strong upper anticyclone will park over the southern Plains, with an amplified upper ridge building into the northern Rockies. Some thunderstorm potential could develop across parts of the Plains as low-level moisture increases beneath the ridge. However, severe potential is uncertain as any potential would be driven by mesoscale features not well defined at this time frame, and as the upper ridge suppresses any large-scale support for organized severe thunderstorms.

..Leitman.. 07/18/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

Outlook for Saturday, July 25

Outlook Images

any severe predictability too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, July 21	15%
Day 5	Wednesday, July 22	15%
Day 6	Thursday, July 23	predictability too low
Day 7	Friday, July 24	predictability too low
Day 8	Saturday, July 25	predictability too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 180757 SPC AC 180757

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2026

Valid 211200Z - 261200Z

DISCUSSION

Day 4-5/Tue-Wed – Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic Vicinity

An upper trough will pivot across the region on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing enhanced southerly flow aloft as a surface cold front sweeps east/southeast through Wednesday night. Ahead of the surface front, rich boundary layer moisture will be in place, and at least moderate destabilization should occur. Convection could be ongoing Tuesday morning across parts of IL/IN/Lower MI/western OH. The extent of this activity is unclear and will depend on the evolution of any potential MCS in the Day 3 period. Nevertheless, the downstream airmass across parts of the Ohio Valley will become favorable for scattered severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, likely in the form of one or more line segments organizing ahead of the advancing cold front. An additional area of severe storms will be possible on Tuesday across the Mid-Atlantic within a warm advection regime ahead of the approaching system over the Ohio Valley. Some areas could see more than one round of severe thunderstorms on Tuesday/Tuesday night.

By Wednesday, the severe risk should spread east from the Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas as the upper trough and surface cold front continue to shift east. It is uncertain how far north the severe risk may extend and probabilities may eventually need to be included across parts of the Northeast/New England. Where storms do form, damaging winds will be possible until the cold front moves offshore Wednesday evening/night.

Days 6-8/Thu-Sat

Upper troughing will persist across the eastern U.S. through the end of the forecast period, but deep-layer flow will weaken. High pressure in the wake of the cold frontal passage will preclude severe potential across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday through Saturday.

Across the Plains and western U.S., a strong upper anticyclone will park over the southern Plains, with an amplified upper ridge building into the northern Rockies. Some thunderstorm potential could develop across parts of the Plains as low-level moisture increases beneath the ridge. However, severe potential is uncertain as any potential would be driven by mesoscale features not well defined at this time frame, and as the upper ridge suppresses any large-scale support for organized severe thunderstorms.

..Leitman.. 07/18/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

National Risk Overview

Saturday, July 18: TORNADO: 5%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 45%
Sunday, July 19: TORNADO: low; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 15%
Monday, July 20: ANY SEVERE: 30%
Tuesday, July 21: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Wednesday, July 22: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Thursday, July 23: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Friday, July 24: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Saturday, July 25: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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