Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Monday, January 26
Outlook Summary
No thunderstorms are expected.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 261938
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 262000Z - 271200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No thunderstorms are expected.
Discussion
Occasional lightning occurred earlier today near the Florida coast with a weak line of storms that developed along the cold front. This convective line has weakened/moved far enough offshore to bring an end to any thunder potential across Florida. A dry, continental-polar airmass, which has now become established across much of the CONUS, will continue to limit any thunderstorm potential.
..Bentley.. 01/26/2026
.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 0950 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026/
Discussion including South Florida
Longwave trough will remain prevalent east of the Rockies, with some late-day amplification of the upper ridge into the West in advance of an approaching shortwave trough. High pressure and cold/continental trajectories will extensively prevail east of the Rockies, with an exception being ahead of a cold front crossing the Florida Peninsula. While near-frontal convergence will remain weak, and mid-level lapse rates are poor, additional boundary layer warming and deepening convection may be conducive for a few lightning flashes, mainly near parts of the coastal southeast Florida Peninsula through afternoon.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
Outlook for Tuesday, January 27
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 261636
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1036 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.
Synopsis
An upper shortwave trough will move from the Rockies into the central/southern Plains on Tuesday, bringing with it a reinforcing shot of cold air to the middle part of the CONUS. At the surface, high pressure will persist, resulting in continental trajectories and maintaining a cold, dry, and stable airmass. As a result, thunderstorms are not expected across the CONUS on Tuesday.
..Leitman.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
Outlook for Wednesday, January 28
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 261840
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 281200Z - 291200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday.
Synopsis
Surface high pressure will persist beneath broad upper troughing/northwest flow across the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS on Wednesday. This will maintain the modified arctic airmass across much of the country. With a large area of snow and ice cover, cold, dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorm activity.
..Leitman.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
Outlook for Thursday, January 29
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, January 30
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, January 31
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, February 1
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Monday, February 2
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Monday, January 26
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Tuesday, January 27
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Wednesday, January 28
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Thursday, January 29
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, January 30
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, January 31
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Sunday, February 1
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Monday, February 2
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
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