Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Tuesday, January 27
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are unlikely today.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 270513
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are unlikely today.
Generally cold and stable conditions exist across most of the CONUS, thus the risk for thunderstorms is very low.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 01/27/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
Outlook for Wednesday, January 28
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 270624
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Valid 281200Z - 291200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday.
Synopsis
Upper troughing will continue over the eastern half of the CONUS Wednesday. Mid-level ridging over the Rockies and Great Basin will weaken slightly as a subtle mid-level perturbation moves inland from the eastern Pacific. However, ridging will quickly rebound with the amplified flow pattern favoring continued northwesterly flow aloft over the continent. This will reinforce a cold dry and stable air mass over much of the country. With no inland moisture return/destabilization, thunderstorm potential is negligible.
..Lyons.. 01/27/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Thursday, January 29
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, January 30
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, January 31
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, February 1
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Monday, February 2
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 260958 SPC AC 260958
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Valid 291200Z - 031200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather is unlikely through the extended forecast period. A robust Arctic air mass associated with continued troughing over the eastern US will be reinforced by several additional perturbations moving out of Canada and a building western US ridge. As the flow pattern aloft amplifies, surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic seaboard this weekend, further increasing offshore flow and limiting substantial inland moisture return/destabilization. Thus, thunderstorm potential appears negligible through the extended forecast period.
..Lyons.. 01/26/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Tuesday, January 27
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Wednesday, January 28
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Thursday, January 29
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, January 30
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, January 31
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Sunday, February 1
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Monday, February 2
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
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