Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Friday, January 30
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not expected tonight.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 310039
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 310100Z - 311200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not expected tonight.
Synopsis
Dry and stable conditions remain prevalent across the CONUS based on latest surface observations and recent 00z RAOBs, and will preclude thunderstorm development. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected overnight well east of the Carolina coast as a cyclone continues to intensify, but these are not expected to impact land.
..Moore.. 01/31/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Saturday, January 31
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday).
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301658
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1058 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. tomorrow (Saturday).
Synopsis
A pronounced upper trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second upper trough impinges on the Pacific Northwest tomorrow (Saturday). The amplification of the East Coast trough will reinforce surface high pressure and an associated polar airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential. Strong surface cyclogenesis is anticipated off of the Carolina Coastline, which may promote the development of thunderstorms. However, these storms should remain far enough east of the coastal waters to warrant the withholding of thunderstorm probabilities this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
Outlook for Sunday, February 1
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 301845
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Sunday or Sunday night.
Synopsis
An upper trough will continue to migrate across the eastern U.S. on Sunday. Meanwhile, an intense coastal low off the NC coast will lift northeast across the northwest Atlantic, offshore from the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts. Further west, an upper ridge over the western states will deamplify as it spreads into the Plains. General surface high pressure will remain in place across portions of the Rockies, the Mid/Lower MS Valley and the Southeast. This will keep Gulf moisture offshore as another cold front passage delves well south into the Gulf Basin. As a result, a mostly dry and stable airmass will prevail across the CONUS, precluding thunderstorm activity.
..Leitman.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
Outlook for Monday, February 2
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Tuesday, February 3
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Wednesday, February 4
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, February 5
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, February 6
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, February 2 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, February 3 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, February 4 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, February 5 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, February 6 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 301000 SPC AC 301000
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
DISCUSSION
Northwesterly mid-level flow will continue throughout the Day 4 to 8 period across much of the nation, as a series of shortwave troughs move southeastward through the flow. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday into Wednesday across parts of the Southeast as a trough moves eastward into the eastern U.S. Weak moisture return ahead of the trough is expected to keep the stronger instability over the northern Gulf of America. For this reason, a severe threat is not forecast with this system. Late in the week, a cold and dry airmass will likely make thunderstorms unfavorable across the continental U.S.
..Broyles.. 01/30/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Friday, January 30
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Saturday, January 31
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Sunday, February 1
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Monday, February 2
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Tuesday, February 3
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Wednesday, February 4
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, February 5
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, February 6
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
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