TORNADO HQ: waiting on update ...

Finding your location risk...

Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like lofi music whatever music Hayley put on and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!


* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week

Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.

Overview of the threat for the next few days

Sunday, January 25
Monday, January 26
Tuesday, January 27
Wednesday, January 28
Thursday, January 29
Friday, January 30
Saturday, January 31

Outlook for Sunday, January 25

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the eastern Gulf Coast states this morning and afternoon. Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado 5%

wind 15%

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 250618

Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GULF COAST STATES

CORRECTED FOR SUBSECTION HEADLINE

SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the eastern Gulf Coast states this morning and afternoon. Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns.

Gulf Coast States

Southern Plains short-wave trough is forecast to eject across the Arklatex early in the period as a 100+kt 500mb speed max translates across northern MS, then increases to near 130kt over WV by 26/00z. Modest midlevel height falls will spread across the Gulf states and a strong LLJ will respond just downstream from northern AL into the Middle Atlantic. Associated polar front will surge into MS/southern LA by sunrise then shift into AL by 18z. Latest model guidance suggests modified Gulf air mass will advance inland ahead of the surging boundary such that weak buoyancy will develop within roughly 100mi of the Gulf coast. Forecast soundings suggest SBCAPE on the order of 500 J/kg could be noted prior to frontal passage where surface dew points rise into the mid-upper 60s. Given the deep layer shear, convection that develops within this environment would have some potential to organize with some supercell risk. For these reasons have maintained SLGT risk near the Gulf coast to account for morning-afternoon thunderstorms ahead of the cold front. Damaging winds and perhaps a few tornadoes are the primary concerns.

..Darrow/Thornton.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Monday, January 26

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 250650

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1250 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.

Synopsis

A strong upper trough initially centered across the Plains and Great Lakes will move off the East Coast by early Tuesday. A second upper trough over the Canadian Prairies will subsequently move southward and intensify over the northern US as ridging builds over the West. At the surface, a strong cold front will sweep across the central and southern FL Peninsula Monday morning and afternoon. While a thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out across the FL Atlantic coast, deep-layer ascent will diminish as the primary ascent departs with the offshore trough. This will limit thunderstorm development inland as the expansive Arctic air mass forces the remaining instability offshore.

..Lyons.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Tuesday, January 27

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Tuesday, January 27 potential too low
Day 5 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 6 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 7 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 8 Saturday, January 31 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 240956 SPC AC 240956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

DISCUSSION

Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8.

..Lyons.. 01/24/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Wednesday, January 28

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Tuesday, January 27 potential too low
Day 5 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 6 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 7 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 8 Saturday, January 31 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 240956 SPC AC 240956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

DISCUSSION

Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8.

..Lyons.. 01/24/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Thursday, January 29

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Tuesday, January 27 potential too low
Day 5 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 6 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 7 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 8 Saturday, January 31 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 240956 SPC AC 240956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

DISCUSSION

Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8.

..Lyons.. 01/24/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Friday, January 30

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Tuesday, January 27 potential too low
Day 5 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 6 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 7 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 8 Saturday, January 31 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 240956 SPC AC 240956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

DISCUSSION

Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8.

..Lyons.. 01/24/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Saturday, January 31

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Tuesday, January 27 potential too low
Day 5 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 6 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 7 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 8 Saturday, January 31 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 240956 SPC AC 240956

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Valid 271200Z - 011200Z

DISCUSSION

Amplified mid-level flow will persist over the US through the remainder of the extended forecast period. Continued troughing in the eastern US will be supported by the arrival of multiple perturbations from southern Canada over the next week. At the same time, strong ridging developing over the West will favor northwesterly flow aloft over the central States. This will allow for multiple reinforcing surges of cold air to replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass. Thus, severe thunderstorms are unlikely through day 8.

..Lyons.. 01/24/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

National Risk Overview

Sunday, January 25
TORNADO: 5%
HAIL: low
WIND: 15%
Monday, January 26
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Tuesday, January 27
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, January 28
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, January 29
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, January 30
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, January 31
ANY SEVERE: potential too low

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.


Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

 

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →


About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.