Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, July 19
Outlook Summary
Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from parts of north Georgia, across the Carolinas, and into southern Virginia this afternoon. Additional severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and large hail will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of the Dakotas and western Minnesota.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind 15%
hail 15%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 190600
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTH GEORGIA INTO SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA
### SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from parts of north Georgia, across the Carolinas, and into southern Virginia this afternoon. Additional severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and large hail will be possible this afternoon and evening across parts of the Dakotas and western Minnesota.
Synopsis
The base-state mid-level pattern today will feature a western US ridge and eastern US trough, with a weak closed low over the northeast Gulf. Within this background flow field, a short-wave trough will be exiting the Northeast US and a closed low across the Canadian Prairies will crest the western ridge before digging southeast late in the day toward the Upper Midwest.
At the surface, a large anticyclone will settle into the Great Lakes region during the day. On the periphery of this anticyclone, a cold front will be draped from coastal Virginia to the west-southwest, before arcing northwest into the Mid-Mississippi Valley and then into the Upper Midwest. This front will sag south across the eastern US, while beginning to lift north and east across the Mississippi Valley and Upper-Midwest. The front will act to delineate a very warm/hot and moist airmass to the south and west from a cooler/dryer airmass to the north and east.
### Georgia into southern Virginia and the greater Southeast
To the south of the advancing surface front, temperatures will warm into the low-to-mid-90Fs from northern Georgia into southern Virginia. At the same time, surface dewpoints of the upper-60Fs and low-70Fs will be maintained. The result will be an strongly unstable environment with HREF ensemble mean MUCAPE between 1500-2000 J/kg across the region. Forecast soundings show precipitable water greater than 1.75 inches across much of the area, with a band of precipitable water in excess of 2 inches. This, coupled with steep sub-cloud layer lapse rates (approaching 8 C/km) which will support wind damage potential with any sustained thunderstorm updraft.
Surrounding this area, more scattered thunderstorm development is expected within the moist and unstable environment. At this time, it appears a corridor of higher likelihood for thunderstorm development will extend from southeast Louisiana northeast toward northern Georgia. This increased thunderstorm activity appears to be associated with a band of modest convergence in the 850-700 millibar layer to the north of a weak low across the northeast Gulf. Damaging wind gusts will be possible with some of these storms.
Another potential area of damaging wind gusts will be across north-central Florida into far south-central Georgia. Here, HREF guidance shows an east-northeast expanding band of thunderstorms emanating from the low over the northeast Gulf.
### Dakotas into western Montana
Temperatures are expected to warm into the upper-90Fs to the low-100Fs during the afternoon to the east of a low-level trough axis developing in the lee of the Rockies in the northern High Plains. To the east of this trough axis, HREF ensemble mean dewpoints in the mid-to-upper-60Fs will combine with those hot afternoon temperatures to support a very unstable environment, with HREF ensemble mean MUCAPE values between 1500-2000 J/kg across the Dakotas and individual members considerably higher (3000-4000 J/kg).
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop across the Dakotas by mid afternoon as convective temperatures are approached and modest height falls overspread the area. Long, straight hodographs and effective-layer shear around 40-knots will support supercellular structures, including storm splits, early in the thunderstorm convective life cycle. Large hail, potentially in excess of 2 inches, will be possible with these initial storms. However, dry sub-cloud layers and low-level lapse rates around 9 C/km will support strong convective outflows that will tend to favor upscale growth, especially in regions where storm splits interact with one another. One or more convective clusters will move east-southeast during the late afternoon and evening continuing the threat for damaging winds, before eventually weakening overnight.
..Marsh/Weinman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
Outlook for Monday, July 20
Outlook Summary
Severe thunderstorms are probable across portions of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes vicinity on Monday. Swaths of damaging winds will be the most likely hazard, with isolated large hail as well. Isolated strong to damaging gusts may occur over parts of the Carolinas.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 5%
wind 30%
hail 15%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 190534
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1234 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MN…NORTHEAST IA…NORTHERN IL…WI…AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN
### SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are probable across portions of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes vicinity on Monday. Swaths of damaging winds will be the most likely hazard, with isolated large hail as well. Isolated strong to damaging gusts may occur over parts of the Carolinas.
Upper Midwest/Great Lakes
An upper shortwave trough initially over the northern Plains early Monday will strengthen as it progresses east/southeast over the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. As this occurs, mid/upper west/northwesterly flow will intensify, with most guidance showing 50-60 kt at 500 mb, and 850-700 mb potentially increasing to 40+ kt. At the surface, low pressure will deepen as it shifts east across Ontario and the northern Great Lakes. A trailing cold front will sweep east/southeast during the afternoon and evening, becoming positioned from northern Lower MI to northern MO by Tuesday morning. Ahead of the front, a very moist airmass characterized by 70s dewpoints will be in place. This moisture will modestly decrease east of Lake MI. Within the moist axis, strong to extreme instability is forecast (particularly from IA into WI).
Some uncertainty remains concerning placement and extent of potential ongoing convection early Monday, and will depend on evolution of storms overnight in the Day 1/Sunday period, and the timing of a possible lead shortwave impulse. Morning convection could have implications for where corridors of greater severe potential will develop during the afternoon/evening. Nevertheless, the region will experience strong warm advection ahead of the cold front, and airmass recovery is likely.
Supercell wind profiles are evident in forecast soundings. A favorable thermodynamic/kinematic environment could support initial supercells capable of all severe hazards, and possibly significant severe. However, given the progressive nature of the upper trough and surface cold front, along with intensifying 850 mb flow by late afternoon/evening, upscale growth into one or more bowing MCSs appears possible. Significant damaging wind potential will increase with a transition to linear storm mode. The south and east extent of severe potential is also uncertain, but if a mature MCS develops during the evening, it seems reasonable the severe wind risk could persist into portions of Lower MI, northern IN and northwest OH overnight.
North Carolina vicinity
Weak northwest flow aloft will persist across the Mid-Atlantic on Monday. Modest lee troughing across the Piedmont will allow a surface front to lift north across part of NC into VA, and spreading rich boundary layer moisture across the region. Strong heating will result in moderate destabilization and scattered thunderstorms will develop during the afternoon. Deep-layer flow will remain modest, but sufficient clustering, high PW values, and steep low-level lapse rates will support isolated damaging wind potential.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Tuesday, July 21
Outlook Summary
Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected across a broad region from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Tuesday. All severe hazards are possible, but swaths of damaging wind gusts should be the primary severe risk Tuesday afternoon into the nighttime hours.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe 45%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 190710
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
### SUMMARY
Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected across a broad region from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Tuesday. All severe hazards are possible, but swaths of damaging wind gusts should be the primary severe risk Tuesday afternoon into the nighttime hours.
Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast
A vigorous upper trough will spread across the region on Tuesday. A broad area of strong deep-layer flow, especially by July standards, will overlap a very moist airmass ahead of an eastward progressing surface cold front. Widespread dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s are expected. While some uncertainty exists regarding potential morning convection in the form of a remnant MCS from the Day 2/Monday period across parts of MI/IN/OH, pockets of stronger heating should occur, and given rich moisture/continuous warm advection ahead of the surface front, strong destabilization is forecast. While boundary layer moisture will begin the day somewhat muted across parts of the Northeast, strong warm advection and increasing southerly low-level flow across the Mid-Atlantic into the Northeast will also result in northward transport of richer boundary layer moisture through evening. While instability may be somewhat less further east into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast, strong deep-layer flow will envelop this region as well.
Supercell wind profiles are evident across the broad warm sector, with 40+ kt westerly flow common above 850 mb. Where supercells can develop and be maintained, all severe hazards will be possible. However, given the strong flow field, and the progressive trough and surface front, one or more bowing segments will quickly develop and spread eastward. Swaths of damaging winds will be the primary concern during the afternoon and into the nighttime hours.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Wednesday, July 22
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, July 22 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, July 23 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, July 24 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, July 25 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, July 26 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190746 SPC AC 190746
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 221200Z - 271200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas
An upper trough will lift northeast across the region on Wednesday. At the surface, a cold front will be oriented from roughly the Hudson Valley to the central Appalachians at the beginning of the period. Within a zone of strong warm advection ahead of the surface front, widespread showers and thunderstorm may be ongoing across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in uncertainty regarding northward extent of severe potential. For now, the 15 percent severe probability has been confined to portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas ahead of the surface trough/cold front. A very moist airmass will be in place across the region, and 25-35 kt effective shear magnitudes are forecast. Thunderstorm clusters or linear bands are expected to move across the region through evening, posing mainly a risk for damaging winds.
Days 5-8/Thu-Sun
Severe potential is expected to be lower late in the week into the weekend. An upper trough will persist over the eastern U.S., but deep-layer flow will be weak. Further west, the subtropical high will intensify over the Plains and into the Four Corners vicinity while the associated amplified upper ridge persists northward into the Canadian Prairies. As boundary layer moisture spreads northward beneath the upper ridge, some severe potential could develop each day across parts of the High Plains. However, this will largely be driven by mesoscale processes not well resolved at longer lead times. Overall, the intense upper ridge should largely suppress greater severe potential.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, July 23
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, July 22 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, July 23 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, July 24 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, July 25 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, July 26 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190746 SPC AC 190746
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 221200Z - 271200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas
An upper trough will lift northeast across the region on Wednesday. At the surface, a cold front will be oriented from roughly the Hudson Valley to the central Appalachians at the beginning of the period. Within a zone of strong warm advection ahead of the surface front, widespread showers and thunderstorm may be ongoing across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in uncertainty regarding northward extent of severe potential. For now, the 15 percent severe probability has been confined to portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas ahead of the surface trough/cold front. A very moist airmass will be in place across the region, and 25-35 kt effective shear magnitudes are forecast. Thunderstorm clusters or linear bands are expected to move across the region through evening, posing mainly a risk for damaging winds.
Days 5-8/Thu-Sun
Severe potential is expected to be lower late in the week into the weekend. An upper trough will persist over the eastern U.S., but deep-layer flow will be weak. Further west, the subtropical high will intensify over the Plains and into the Four Corners vicinity while the associated amplified upper ridge persists northward into the Canadian Prairies. As boundary layer moisture spreads northward beneath the upper ridge, some severe potential could develop each day across parts of the High Plains. However, this will largely be driven by mesoscale processes not well resolved at longer lead times. Overall, the intense upper ridge should largely suppress greater severe potential.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, July 24
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, July 22 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, July 23 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, July 24 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, July 25 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, July 26 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190746 SPC AC 190746
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 221200Z - 271200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas
An upper trough will lift northeast across the region on Wednesday. At the surface, a cold front will be oriented from roughly the Hudson Valley to the central Appalachians at the beginning of the period. Within a zone of strong warm advection ahead of the surface front, widespread showers and thunderstorm may be ongoing across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in uncertainty regarding northward extent of severe potential. For now, the 15 percent severe probability has been confined to portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas ahead of the surface trough/cold front. A very moist airmass will be in place across the region, and 25-35 kt effective shear magnitudes are forecast. Thunderstorm clusters or linear bands are expected to move across the region through evening, posing mainly a risk for damaging winds.
Days 5-8/Thu-Sun
Severe potential is expected to be lower late in the week into the weekend. An upper trough will persist over the eastern U.S., but deep-layer flow will be weak. Further west, the subtropical high will intensify over the Plains and into the Four Corners vicinity while the associated amplified upper ridge persists northward into the Canadian Prairies. As boundary layer moisture spreads northward beneath the upper ridge, some severe potential could develop each day across parts of the High Plains. However, this will largely be driven by mesoscale processes not well resolved at longer lead times. Overall, the intense upper ridge should largely suppress greater severe potential.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, July 25
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, July 22 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, July 23 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, July 24 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, July 25 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, July 26 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190746 SPC AC 190746
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 221200Z - 271200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas
An upper trough will lift northeast across the region on Wednesday. At the surface, a cold front will be oriented from roughly the Hudson Valley to the central Appalachians at the beginning of the period. Within a zone of strong warm advection ahead of the surface front, widespread showers and thunderstorm may be ongoing across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in uncertainty regarding northward extent of severe potential. For now, the 15 percent severe probability has been confined to portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas ahead of the surface trough/cold front. A very moist airmass will be in place across the region, and 25-35 kt effective shear magnitudes are forecast. Thunderstorm clusters or linear bands are expected to move across the region through evening, posing mainly a risk for damaging winds.
Days 5-8/Thu-Sun
Severe potential is expected to be lower late in the week into the weekend. An upper trough will persist over the eastern U.S., but deep-layer flow will be weak. Further west, the subtropical high will intensify over the Plains and into the Four Corners vicinity while the associated amplified upper ridge persists northward into the Canadian Prairies. As boundary layer moisture spreads northward beneath the upper ridge, some severe potential could develop each day across parts of the High Plains. However, this will largely be driven by mesoscale processes not well resolved at longer lead times. Overall, the intense upper ridge should largely suppress greater severe potential.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, July 26
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, July 22 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Thursday, July 23 | predictability too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, July 24 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, July 25 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, July 26 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190746 SPC AC 190746
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0246 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Valid 221200Z - 271200Z
DISCUSSION
Day 4/Wed - Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas
An upper trough will lift northeast across the region on Wednesday. At the surface, a cold front will be oriented from roughly the Hudson Valley to the central Appalachians at the beginning of the period. Within a zone of strong warm advection ahead of the surface front, widespread showers and thunderstorm may be ongoing across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in uncertainty regarding northward extent of severe potential. For now, the 15 percent severe probability has been confined to portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas ahead of the surface trough/cold front. A very moist airmass will be in place across the region, and 25-35 kt effective shear magnitudes are forecast. Thunderstorm clusters or linear bands are expected to move across the region through evening, posing mainly a risk for damaging winds.
Days 5-8/Thu-Sun
Severe potential is expected to be lower late in the week into the weekend. An upper trough will persist over the eastern U.S., but deep-layer flow will be weak. Further west, the subtropical high will intensify over the Plains and into the Four Corners vicinity while the associated amplified upper ridge persists northward into the Canadian Prairies. As boundary layer moisture spreads northward beneath the upper ridge, some severe potential could develop each day across parts of the High Plains. However, this will largely be driven by mesoscale processes not well resolved at longer lead times. Overall, the intense upper ridge should largely suppress greater severe potential.
..Leitman.. 07/19/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, July 19
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: 15%
- WIND: 15%
- Monday, July 20
- TORNADO: 5%
- HAIL: 15%
- WIND: 30%
- Tuesday, July 21
- ANY SEVERE: 45%
- Wednesday, July 22
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Thursday, July 23
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Friday, July 24
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Saturday, July 25
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Sunday, July 26
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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