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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week

Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.

Overview of the threat for the next few days

Sunday, January 25
Monday, January 26
Tuesday, January 27
Wednesday, January 28
Thursday, January 29
Friday, January 30
Saturday, January 31
Sunday, February 1

Outlook for Sunday, January 25

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Southeast states this afternoon. Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado 5%

wind 15%

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 251603

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1003 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 251630Z - 261200Z

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA…SOUTHWEST GEORGIA…AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Southeast states this afternoon. Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns.

AL/GA/FL

Morning water vapor imagery shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough and associated 100kt jet over AR. This feature will track rapidly eastward across the TN Valley today, with large scale forcing overspreading the Gulf Coast states. This will aid in the development of robust thunderstorms along the cold front now extending from central AL into southeast LA. Ahead of the front, southerly surface winds will transport Gulf moisture northward and result in weak but sufficient destabilization for a risk of a few severe storms. Vertical shear profiles will be favorable for a few tornadoes if semi-discrete structures can form along/ahead of the developing QLCS. Otherwise, locally damaging wind gusts are the main concern. Refer to MCD #0057 for further details.

..Hart/Bentley.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z

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Outlook for Monday, January 26

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 251708

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1108 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.

Synopsis

A shortwave trough in the Upper Midwest will shift eastward and phase with the broader synoptic trough within the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic on Monday. This will push a reinforcing surface high pressure system southward into the southern Plains/lower Mississippi Valley regions. A cold front will also continue to sag southward in the Florida Peninsula. South of the front, modest buoyancy will remain. Even so, forcing for ascent will become increasingly removed from the region and thunderstorm development does not appear likely. Elsewhere, cold air/offshore trajectories will similarly prohibit thunderstorms.

..Wendt.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

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Outlook for Tuesday, January 27

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 251913

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.

Synopsis

Upper-level troughing in the East and ridging in the West will be maintained on Tuesday. This pattern will reinforce cold, dry, and stable surface conditions across the CONUS. Thunderstorm development is unlikely.

..Wendt.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z

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Outlook for Wednesday, January 28

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 5 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 6 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 7 Saturday, January 31 potential too low
Day 8 Sunday, February 1 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

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Outlook for Thursday, January 29

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 5 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 6 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 7 Saturday, January 31 potential too low
Day 8 Sunday, February 1 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Friday, January 30

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 5 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 6 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 7 Saturday, January 31 potential too low
Day 8 Sunday, February 1 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Saturday, January 31

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 5 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 6 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 7 Saturday, January 31 potential too low
Day 8 Sunday, February 1 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Sunday, February 1

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Wednesday, January 28 potential too low
Day 5 Thursday, January 29 potential too low
Day 6 Friday, January 30 potential too low
Day 7 Saturday, January 31 potential too low
Day 8 Sunday, February 1 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

DISCUSSION

Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

National Risk Overview

Sunday, January 25
TORNADO: 5%
HAIL: low
WIND: 15%
Monday, January 26
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Tuesday, January 27
ANY SEVERE: low
Wednesday, January 28
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, January 29
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, January 30
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, January 31
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, February 1
ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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