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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week

Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.

Overview of the threat for the next few days

Tuesday, January 13
Wednesday, January 14
Thursday, January 15
Friday, January 16
Saturday, January 17
Sunday, January 18
Monday, January 19

Outlook for Tuesday, January 13

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 130520

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1120 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

Synopsis

Dry and stable conditions will persist across most of the CONUS today. However, some modest moisture return is forecast across far southern FL as a lobe of low surface pressure extends southward along the Atlantic Seaboard. Generally warm temperatures through the midlevels will limit instability and result in poor lapse rates. Nevertheless, increasing moisture and modest forcing along a developing sea breeze during the afternoon/evening could support a couple of lightning flashes near the immediate coast or just offshore the southeast FL Peninsula and portions of the Keys. Severe storms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 01/13/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

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Outlook for Wednesday, January 14

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 130657

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

DISCUSSION

A large-scale upper-level trough will dig southeastward into the east-central U.S. on Wednesday, as a cold front moves quickly across the southeastern U.S. In its wake, a large area of high pressure will settle in across the central states. This will reinforce dry and cool conditions over much of the nation. In response, thunderstorms will be unlikely over the continental U.S. Wednesday and Wednesday night.

..Broyles.. 01/13/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

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Outlook for Thursday, January 15

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 130826

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0226 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. on Thursday and Thursday night.

DISCUSSION

A large-scale upper-level trough will move eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard on Thursday, as northwest flow remains in place over much of the nation. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will remain over the east-central U.S. As a result, dry and cool conditions will be unfavorable for thunderstorms over the continental U.S. Thursday and Thursday night.

..Broyles.. 01/13/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z

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Outlook for Friday, January 16

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Thursday, January 15 low / uncertain
Day 5 Friday, January 16 potential too low
Day 6 Saturday, January 17 potential too low
Day 7 Sunday, January 18 potential too low
Day 8 Monday, January 19 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120954 SPC AC 120954

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 151200Z - 201200Z

DISCUSSION

A persistent large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to remain over the east-central U.S. during the Day 4 to 8 period. This pattern will be favorable for repeated cold air intrusions into the continental U.S late this week into early next week. As a result, cool and dry conditions are expected to remain in place over much of the nation, making thunderstorm development unlikely in most areas. No severe threat is forecast to develop over the continental U.S. through early next week.

..Broyles.. 01/12/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

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Outlook for Saturday, January 17

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Thursday, January 15 low / uncertain
Day 5 Friday, January 16 potential too low
Day 6 Saturday, January 17 potential too low
Day 7 Sunday, January 18 potential too low
Day 8 Monday, January 19 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120954 SPC AC 120954

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 151200Z - 201200Z

DISCUSSION

A persistent large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to remain over the east-central U.S. during the Day 4 to 8 period. This pattern will be favorable for repeated cold air intrusions into the continental U.S late this week into early next week. As a result, cool and dry conditions are expected to remain in place over much of the nation, making thunderstorm development unlikely in most areas. No severe threat is forecast to develop over the continental U.S. through early next week.

..Broyles.. 01/12/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Sunday, January 18

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Thursday, January 15 low / uncertain
Day 5 Friday, January 16 potential too low
Day 6 Saturday, January 17 potential too low
Day 7 Sunday, January 18 potential too low
Day 8 Monday, January 19 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120954 SPC AC 120954

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 151200Z - 201200Z

DISCUSSION

A persistent large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to remain over the east-central U.S. during the Day 4 to 8 period. This pattern will be favorable for repeated cold air intrusions into the continental U.S late this week into early next week. As a result, cool and dry conditions are expected to remain in place over much of the nation, making thunderstorm development unlikely in most areas. No severe threat is forecast to develop over the continental U.S. through early next week.

..Broyles.. 01/12/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

Outlook for Monday, January 19

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4 Thursday, January 15 low / uncertain
Day 5 Friday, January 16 potential too low
Day 6 Saturday, January 17 potential too low
Day 7 Sunday, January 18 potential too low
Day 8 Monday, January 19 potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 120954 SPC AC 120954

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 151200Z - 201200Z

DISCUSSION

A persistent large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to remain over the east-central U.S. during the Day 4 to 8 period. This pattern will be favorable for repeated cold air intrusions into the continental U.S late this week into early next week. As a result, cool and dry conditions are expected to remain in place over much of the nation, making thunderstorm development unlikely in most areas. No severe threat is forecast to develop over the continental U.S. through early next week.

..Broyles.. 01/12/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

← back to overview

 

National Risk Overview

Tuesday, January 13
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Wednesday, January 14
TORNADO: low
HAIL: low
WIND: low
Thursday, January 15
ANY SEVERE: low
Friday, January 16
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, January 17
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, January 18
ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, January 19
ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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