Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Tuesday, December 2
Outlook Summary
No thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. this evening and tonight.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 030051
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. this evening and tonight.
DISCUSSION
A shortwave mid-level trough will move into the western Atlantic tonight, as flow becomes zonal across much of the Mississippi, Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. At the surface, a large area of high pressure will remain from the Gulf Coast states into the southern and central Appalachians. This dry and cool airmass will be unfavorable for thunderstorms. Elsewhere across the continental U.S., thunderstorm activity is not expected.
..Broyles.. 12/03/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
Outlook for Wednesday, December 3
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are possible over southeast Texas into Louisiana on Wednesday into early Thursday morning. Severe storms appear unlikely.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 021715
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK Issued by 15th OWS Scott Air Force Base IL 1115 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are possible over southeast Texas into Louisiana on Wednesday into early Thursday morning. Severe storms appear unlikely.
Synopsis
A broad, low-amplitude mid-level trough will traverse the central CONUS tomorrow (Wednesday), aiding in the reinforcement of surface high pressure and associated static stability across most of the CONUS. While thunderstorm development should be suppressed over most locales, isolated thunderstorms may develop within a broad warm-air advection regime along the western Gulf Coast. Thunderstorms will be most likely as a cold front surges into the Gulf, locally enhancing low-level lift within the warm-air advection regime. Forecast soundings along the TX/LA coast and inland suggest that a stable layer will be in place, so storms inland should be elevated in nature. Given the expected meager buoyancy, the risk for severe storms appears too low for probabilities.
..15_ows.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
Outlook for Thursday, December 4
Outlook Summary
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible on Thursday across coastal portions of the western and central Gulf Coast vicinity. Severe potential appears low at this time.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 021902
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0102 PM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible on Thursday across coastal portions of the western and central Gulf Coast vicinity. Severe potential appears low at this time.
Western and Center Gulf Coast vicinity
Broad upper troughing will envelop much of the CONUS on Thursday. Strong surface high pressure will be in place over the Rockies/Great Basin, as well as across the Midwest. Meanwhile, a cold front will be draped along/just offshore the TX coast, while a warm front extends eastward near the LA coast, then southeast across the eastern Gulf.
As an upper shortwave trough moves across the Plains, a weak coastal low will develop along the Upper TX Coast/LA coast late in the period. This may allow richer Gulf moisture to move into far southeast LA and coastal MS/AL in the 09-12z time period. Midlevel warm advection and increasing ascent atop a cool boundary layer will support elevated thunderstorm activity along portions of the western/central Gulf coast through the period. While some surface-based instability could move inland very late in the period, this is uncertain and may remain over immediate coastal areas of southeast LA. Overall, severe potential is expected to remain limited given Gulf moisture will mostly remain offshore through the period, though trends will be monitored for some increasing potential late in the Day 3 (early Friday morning) time frame.
..Leitman.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
Outlook for Friday, December 5
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Friday, December 5 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Saturday, December 6 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Sunday, December 7 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Monday, December 8 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Tuesday, December 9 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020844 SPC AC 020844
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Multiple mid-level troughs, embedded within a broader northwesterly flow regime, will progress across the CONUS through the remainder of the week into early next week. Multiple rounds of surface high pressure will reinforce a cool, stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential through the extended forecast period. Thunderstorms could develop over FL during the Days 4-6 period (Friday-Sunday) as low-level moisture moves ashore. However, the severe risk appears very low this weekend.
..Squitieri.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, December 6
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Friday, December 5 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Saturday, December 6 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Sunday, December 7 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Monday, December 8 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Tuesday, December 9 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020844 SPC AC 020844
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Multiple mid-level troughs, embedded within a broader northwesterly flow regime, will progress across the CONUS through the remainder of the week into early next week. Multiple rounds of surface high pressure will reinforce a cool, stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential through the extended forecast period. Thunderstorms could develop over FL during the Days 4-6 period (Friday-Sunday) as low-level moisture moves ashore. However, the severe risk appears very low this weekend.
..Squitieri.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, December 7
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Friday, December 5 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Saturday, December 6 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Sunday, December 7 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Monday, December 8 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Tuesday, December 9 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020844 SPC AC 020844
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Multiple mid-level troughs, embedded within a broader northwesterly flow regime, will progress across the CONUS through the remainder of the week into early next week. Multiple rounds of surface high pressure will reinforce a cool, stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential through the extended forecast period. Thunderstorms could develop over FL during the Days 4-6 period (Friday-Sunday) as low-level moisture moves ashore. However, the severe risk appears very low this weekend.
..Squitieri.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Monday, December 8
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Friday, December 5 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Saturday, December 6 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Sunday, December 7 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Monday, December 8 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Tuesday, December 9 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020844 SPC AC 020844
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Multiple mid-level troughs, embedded within a broader northwesterly flow regime, will progress across the CONUS through the remainder of the week into early next week. Multiple rounds of surface high pressure will reinforce a cool, stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential through the extended forecast period. Thunderstorms could develop over FL during the Days 4-6 period (Friday-Sunday) as low-level moisture moves ashore. However, the severe risk appears very low this weekend.
..Squitieri.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Tuesday, December 9
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Friday, December 5 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Saturday, December 6 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Sunday, December 7 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Monday, December 8 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Tuesday, December 9 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020844 SPC AC 020844
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0244 AM CST Tue Dec 02 2025
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Multiple mid-level troughs, embedded within a broader northwesterly flow regime, will progress across the CONUS through the remainder of the week into early next week. Multiple rounds of surface high pressure will reinforce a cool, stable airmass across most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm potential through the extended forecast period. Thunderstorms could develop over FL during the Days 4-6 period (Friday-Sunday) as low-level moisture moves ashore. However, the severe risk appears very low this weekend.
..Squitieri.. 12/02/2025
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Tuesday, December 2
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Wednesday, December 3
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Thursday, December 4
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Friday, December 5
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, December 6
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Sunday, December 7
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Monday, December 8
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Tuesday, December 9
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
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