Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, November 8
Outlook Summary
Severe storms appear unlikely across the U.S. Sunday through Sunday night.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 080533
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1133 PM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Severe storms appear unlikely across the U.S. Sunday through Sunday night.
South Texas
An upper low over Sonora, Mexico, late this evening is forecast to move/develop toward the TX Big Bend with an attending belt of enhanced mid/upper-level flow present over central and southern TX. The 00Z Brownsville and Corpus Christi, TX, soundings sampled a seasonably moist air mass (e.g., PW of 1.7”) advancing inland ahead of the upper-air system with boundary-layer dewpoints expected to rise into the low to mid 70s across Deep South TX on Sunday. That moisture will contribute to at least marginal instability, which, coupled with persistent low/midlevel warm advection downstream from the upper low, will foster multiple waves of thunderstorms during the forecast period.
A vertically veering wind profile with up to 35-40 kt of deep-layer shear is forecast across the region on Sunday, which would conditionally support supercell storm modes and an associated severe weather threat. However, considerable uncertainty exists in the extent to which the air mass can destabilize due to the deleterious effects of convective outflow and cloud cover arising from early-day storms. As such, no severe weather probabilities will be included in this forecast.
### Washington
While the strongest forcing for ascent will shift away from the region Sunday morning, steep lapse rates in the 0-3 km layer may support a few sufficiently deep convective updrafts for lightning generation into afternoon.
### Lower Great Lakes and Maine
Isolated lightning occurrences appear possible over ME Sunday morning in association with an upper low moving through the area. Sporadic lightning activity may also occur in the lee of the lower Great Lakes Sunday night within a zone of strong dynamic ascent/midlevel cooling present on the cyclonic side of mid/upper-level wind maxima progressing into the region. In both areas, areal lightning coverage is expected to be less than 10%.
..Mead.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
Outlook for Monday, November 9
Outlook Summary
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and Monday night.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 080656
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1256 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and Monday night.
DISCUSSION
Mid-level west-northwesterly flow will be in place across much of the central and eastern U.S. on Monday. Further south, an upper-level low will move across the southern High Plains, weakening substantially during the day. Southeastward from the low, scattered thunderstorms will be possible early in the day over parts of south Texas. Instability will be very weak and no severe threat is expected. Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not forecast across the continental U.S. Monday and Monday night.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Tuesday, November 10
Outlook Summary
No severe threat is forecast across the U.S. Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 080822
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 101200Z - 111200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No severe threat is forecast across the U.S. Tuesday and Tuesday night.
DISCUSSION
At mid-levels, a shortwave trough will move across the north-central U.S. on Tuesday, as west-northwesterly flow remains in place over much of the central and eastern U.S. A shortwave trough will also move eastward in the vicinity of the western Gulf Coast. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible within a moist airmass from south Texas to the middle Texas Coast on Tuesday. No severe threat is expected, and thunderstorms are not forecast across the remainder of the continental U.S. Tuesday and Tuesday night.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Wednesday, November 11
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, November 15 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 080945 SPC AC 080945
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 111200Z - 161200Z
DISCUSSION
During the Day 4 to 8 period, a cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place over the eastern U.S, with a series of shortwave troughs moving through the large-scale trough. Ahead of this feature, thunderstorm development will be possible in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday, and in parts of the central Appalachians on Thursday. Further west, an upper-level ridge will move slowly eastward across the western and central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to settle into the Gulf Coast states from Friday to Sunday, limiting thunderstorm potential across the majority of the nation.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, November 12
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, November 15 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 080945 SPC AC 080945
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 111200Z - 161200Z
DISCUSSION
During the Day 4 to 8 period, a cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place over the eastern U.S, with a series of shortwave troughs moving through the large-scale trough. Ahead of this feature, thunderstorm development will be possible in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday, and in parts of the central Appalachians on Thursday. Further west, an upper-level ridge will move slowly eastward across the western and central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to settle into the Gulf Coast states from Friday to Sunday, limiting thunderstorm potential across the majority of the nation.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, November 13
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, November 15 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 080945 SPC AC 080945
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 111200Z - 161200Z
DISCUSSION
During the Day 4 to 8 period, a cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place over the eastern U.S, with a series of shortwave troughs moving through the large-scale trough. Ahead of this feature, thunderstorm development will be possible in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday, and in parts of the central Appalachians on Thursday. Further west, an upper-level ridge will move slowly eastward across the western and central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to settle into the Gulf Coast states from Friday to Sunday, limiting thunderstorm potential across the majority of the nation.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, November 14
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, November 15 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 080945 SPC AC 080945
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 111200Z - 161200Z
DISCUSSION
During the Day 4 to 8 period, a cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place over the eastern U.S, with a series of shortwave troughs moving through the large-scale trough. Ahead of this feature, thunderstorm development will be possible in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday, and in parts of the central Appalachians on Thursday. Further west, an upper-level ridge will move slowly eastward across the western and central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to settle into the Gulf Coast states from Friday to Sunday, limiting thunderstorm potential across the majority of the nation.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, November 15
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, November 15 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 080945 SPC AC 080945
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
Valid 111200Z - 161200Z
DISCUSSION
During the Day 4 to 8 period, a cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will be in place over the eastern U.S, with a series of shortwave troughs moving through the large-scale trough. Ahead of this feature, thunderstorm development will be possible in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday, and in parts of the central Appalachians on Thursday. Further west, an upper-level ridge will move slowly eastward across the western and central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to settle into the Gulf Coast states from Friday to Sunday, limiting thunderstorm potential across the majority of the nation.
..Broyles.. 11/08/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, November 8
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Monday, November 9
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Tuesday, November 10
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Wednesday, November 11
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, November 12
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, November 13
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, November 14
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Sunday, November 15
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Your Severe Outlook
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