Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Sunday, January 25
Outlook Summary
Severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Southeast states this afternoon. Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 5%
wind 15%
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 251603
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1003 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 251630Z - 261200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA…SOUTHWEST GEORGIA…AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
### SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Southeast states this afternoon. Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes are the main concerns.
AL/GA/FL
Morning water vapor imagery shows a potent mid-level shortwave trough and associated 100kt jet over AR. This feature will track rapidly eastward across the TN Valley today, with large scale forcing overspreading the Gulf Coast states. This will aid in the development of robust thunderstorms along the cold front now extending from central AL into southeast LA. Ahead of the front, southerly surface winds will transport Gulf moisture northward and result in weak but sufficient destabilization for a risk of a few severe storms. Vertical shear profiles will be favorable for a few tornadoes if semi-discrete structures can form along/ahead of the developing QLCS. Otherwise, locally damaging wind gusts are the main concern. Refer to MCD #0057 for further details.
..Hart/Bentley.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
Outlook for Monday, January 26
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 251708
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1108 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms appear unlikely Monday.
Synopsis
A shortwave trough in the Upper Midwest will shift eastward and phase with the broader synoptic trough within the Southeast/Mid-Atlantic on Monday. This will push a reinforcing surface high pressure system southward into the southern Plains/lower Mississippi Valley regions. A cold front will also continue to sag southward in the Florida Peninsula. South of the front, modest buoyancy will remain. Even so, forcing for ascent will become increasingly removed from the region and thunderstorm development does not appear likely. Elsewhere, cold air/offshore trajectories will similarly prohibit thunderstorms.
..Wendt.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
Outlook for Tuesday, January 27
Outlook Summary
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 251913
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0113 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.
Synopsis
Upper-level troughing in the East and ridging in the West will be maintained on Tuesday. This pattern will reinforce cold, dry, and stable surface conditions across the CONUS. Thunderstorm development is unlikely.
..Wendt.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z
Outlook for Wednesday, January 28
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, January 29
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, January 30
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, January 31
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Sunday, February 1
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Wednesday, January 28 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Thursday, January 29 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Friday, January 30 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Saturday, January 31 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Sunday, February 1 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250948 SPC AC 250948
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Valid 281200Z - 021200Z
DISCUSSION
Severe weather concerns are negligible for the extended forecast period. Continued eastern US troughing, reinforced by northwesterly flow out of southern Canada will replenish a cold, dry and stable air mass underneath Arctic high Pressure. While some surface cyclogenesis appears possible over the eastern Gulf and Atlantic coast into next weekend, offshore winds should preclude robust moisture return, negating any thunderstorm or severe risk for the next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/25/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Sunday, January 25
- TORNADO: 5%
- HAIL: low
- WIND: 15%
- Monday, January 26
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Tuesday, January 27
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Wednesday, January 28
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, January 29
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, January 30
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, January 31
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Sunday, February 1
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
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