Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Saturday, November 7
Outlook Summary
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and tonight.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 070559
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 PM CST Fri Nov 06 2026
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and tonight.
Synopsis
An upper cyclone and attendant trough will pivot east/northeast across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states today. In the wake of the trough, a surface low will deepen off the coast of New England. A strong surface cold front will move offshore with the low into the Atlantic and Gulf waters early this morning. Isolated elevated thunderstorms may occur with warm air advection ahead of the upper cyclone across New England, though severe storms are not expected.
Along southern portions of the front near the Gulf Coast, additional showers and thunderstorms are expected across portions of southern/central TX. An upper cyclone moving out of northern MX will bolster isentropic ascent behind the southward moving front supporting scattered elevated thunderstorms. Instability will remain meager and not supportive of severe storms.
Elsewhere, surface high pressure and offshore flow will favor dry and stable conditions over the majority of the CONUS. The only exception may be across the Olympic Peninsula where shallow convection ahead of another upper trough may allow for a few lightning strikes overnight.
..Lyons/Halbert-K.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
Outlook for Sunday, November 8
Outlook Summary
No severe threat is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 070645
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No severe threat is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.
DISCUSSION
At upper-levels over the U.S. on Sunday, a trough will move through the Northeast as northwesterly flow remains in place over much of the central and eastern U.S. Further south, a low will move slowly across northern Mexico. Ahead of this system, a moist and weakly unstable airmass will be in place over parts southern, central and southwest Texas. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will be possible within this airmass during the day on Sunday. Storms will likely continue across parts of south-central Texas Sunday night. No severe threat is expected, and no thunderstorms are forecast across the remainder of the U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Monday, November 9
Outlook Summary
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and Monday night.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 070815
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and Monday night.
DISCUSSION
West-northwesterly flow aloft will remain in place from the central and northern U.S. to the Eastern Seaboard on Monday, as an upper-level low moves into the southern High Plains. To the southeast of the upper-level low, a moist airmass will be in place across southwest and south Texas. Thunderstorms will be possible during the day within this airmass. No severe threat is forecast. Thunderstorms are not expected over the remainder of the continental U.S Monday and Monday night.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Tuesday, November 10
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, November 9 | low / uncertain |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 060747 SPC AC 060747
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Fri Nov 06 2026
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
DISCUSSION
Early next week, west-northwesterly flow is forecast over much of the northern U.S., while an upper-level trough is forecast to move across the south-central states. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this weakening trough along the western Gulf Coast on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, thunderstorms will be possible along the coast of Louisiana. From Wednesday into Thursday, a large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to dig southeastward into the east-central U.S. This will help usher cool and dry air southward across the U.S, limiting moisture return from the Gulf. As a result, thunderstorm potential appears to be low late in the Day 4 to 8 period.
..Broyles.. 11/06/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Wednesday, November 11
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, November 9 | low / uncertain |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 060747 SPC AC 060747
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Fri Nov 06 2026
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
DISCUSSION
Early next week, west-northwesterly flow is forecast over much of the northern U.S., while an upper-level trough is forecast to move across the south-central states. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this weakening trough along the western Gulf Coast on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, thunderstorms will be possible along the coast of Louisiana. From Wednesday into Thursday, a large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to dig southeastward into the east-central U.S. This will help usher cool and dry air southward across the U.S, limiting moisture return from the Gulf. As a result, thunderstorm potential appears to be low late in the Day 4 to 8 period.
..Broyles.. 11/06/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, November 12
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, November 9 | low / uncertain |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 060747 SPC AC 060747
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Fri Nov 06 2026
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
DISCUSSION
Early next week, west-northwesterly flow is forecast over much of the northern U.S., while an upper-level trough is forecast to move across the south-central states. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this weakening trough along the western Gulf Coast on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, thunderstorms will be possible along the coast of Louisiana. From Wednesday into Thursday, a large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to dig southeastward into the east-central U.S. This will help usher cool and dry air southward across the U.S, limiting moisture return from the Gulf. As a result, thunderstorm potential appears to be low late in the Day 4 to 8 period.
..Broyles.. 11/06/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, November 13
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Monday, November 9 | low / uncertain |
| Day 5 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 060747 SPC AC 060747
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Fri Nov 06 2026
Valid 091200Z - 141200Z
DISCUSSION
Early next week, west-northwesterly flow is forecast over much of the northern U.S., while an upper-level trough is forecast to move across the south-central states. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this weakening trough along the western Gulf Coast on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, thunderstorms will be possible along the coast of Louisiana. From Wednesday into Thursday, a large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to dig southeastward into the east-central U.S. This will help usher cool and dry air southward across the U.S, limiting moisture return from the Gulf. As a result, thunderstorm potential appears to be low late in the Day 4 to 8 period.
..Broyles.. 11/06/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Saturday, November 7
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Sunday, November 8
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Monday, November 9
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Tuesday, November 10
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Wednesday, November 11
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, November 12
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, November 13
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Your Severe Outlook
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