Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Saturday, November 7
Outlook Summary
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 071246
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 071300Z - 081200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.
Synopsis and Discussion
An upper trough/low over the lower Great Lakes this morning will move eastward across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today. Modest low-level warm advection and cool mid-level temperatures may support weak but sufficient MUCAPE for occasional lightning flashes with convection that develops across parts of New England through the day. Instability is expected to remain too limited to support organized severe thunderstorms.
Mainly elevated thunderstorms should occur through the period across parts of west/central/south TX, as a separate mid-level trough/low translates east-southeastward from the Southwest into north-central Mexico. A surface front will generally remain offshore from the lower TX Coast, but large-scale ascent preceding the upper trough and a modest increase in low-level warm advection late this afternoon into tonight will aid the development of MUCAPE up to 500 J/kg, which should support some lightning with this elevated activity.
Across the coastal Pacific Northwest, a low-topped line of convection is forecast to approach the WA Coast after 00Z, with strong low and mid-level winds expected to be present ahead of an approaching upper trough. Low 50s surface dewpoints and minimal diurnal heating both appear marginal to support more than very weak surface-based instability, and updrafts may not reach sufficient height to induce charge separation and lightning flashes. Even so, strong/gusty winds may occur with this convection as it spreads inland across parts of coastal WA this evening/tonight. However, given the very limited thermodynamic environment, confidence in severe gusts remains too low to include any severe probabilities.
..Gleason.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
Outlook for Sunday, November 8
Outlook Summary
No severe threat is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind low
hail low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 070645
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No severe threat is forecast across the continental U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.
DISCUSSION
At upper-levels over the U.S. on Sunday, a trough will move through the Northeast as northwesterly flow remains in place over much of the central and eastern U.S. Further south, a low will move slowly across northern Mexico. Ahead of this system, a moist and weakly unstable airmass will be in place over parts southern, central and southwest Texas. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will be possible within this airmass during the day on Sunday. Storms will likely continue across parts of south-central Texas Sunday night. No severe threat is expected, and no thunderstorms are forecast across the remainder of the U.S. Sunday and Sunday night.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Monday, November 9
Outlook Summary
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and Monday night.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe low
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 070815
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
### SUMMARY
No severe thunderstorms are forecast across the U.S. Monday and Monday night.
DISCUSSION
West-northwesterly flow aloft will remain in place from the central and northern U.S. to the Eastern Seaboard on Monday, as an upper-level low moves into the southern High Plains. To the southeast of the upper-level low, a moist airmass will be in place across southwest and south Texas. Thunderstorms will be possible during the day within this airmass. No severe threat is forecast. Thunderstorms are not expected over the remainder of the continental U.S Monday and Monday night.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Tuesday, November 10
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 070938 SPC AC 070938
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
DISCUSSION
During the mid-week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the western and central Gulf Coast, where a moist airmass will likely be in place. Thunderstorm development will be possible near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana from Tuesday into Wednesday. On Thursday, thunderstorm development will be possible in parts of the eastern U.S, ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. from Tuesday to Thursday.
On Friday and Saturday, dry and cool air associated with high pressure is forecast to dominate the central and eastern U.S., which will likely limit thunderstorm potential over most of the U.S.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Wednesday, November 11
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 070938 SPC AC 070938
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
DISCUSSION
During the mid-week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the western and central Gulf Coast, where a moist airmass will likely be in place. Thunderstorm development will be possible near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana from Tuesday into Wednesday. On Thursday, thunderstorm development will be possible in parts of the eastern U.S, ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. from Tuesday to Thursday.
On Friday and Saturday, dry and cool air associated with high pressure is forecast to dominate the central and eastern U.S., which will likely limit thunderstorm potential over most of the U.S.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, November 12
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 070938 SPC AC 070938
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
DISCUSSION
During the mid-week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the western and central Gulf Coast, where a moist airmass will likely be in place. Thunderstorm development will be possible near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana from Tuesday into Wednesday. On Thursday, thunderstorm development will be possible in parts of the eastern U.S, ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. from Tuesday to Thursday.
On Friday and Saturday, dry and cool air associated with high pressure is forecast to dominate the central and eastern U.S., which will likely limit thunderstorm potential over most of the U.S.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, November 13
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 070938 SPC AC 070938
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
DISCUSSION
During the mid-week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the western and central Gulf Coast, where a moist airmass will likely be in place. Thunderstorm development will be possible near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana from Tuesday into Wednesday. On Thursday, thunderstorm development will be possible in parts of the eastern U.S, ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. from Tuesday to Thursday.
On Friday and Saturday, dry and cool air associated with high pressure is forecast to dominate the central and eastern U.S., which will likely limit thunderstorm potential over most of the U.S.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, November 14
Outlook Images
any severe potential too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, November 10 | potential too low |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, November 11 | potential too low |
| Day 6 | Thursday, November 12 | potential too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, November 13 | potential too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, November 14 | potential too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 070938 SPC AC 070938
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
DISCUSSION
During the mid-week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the western and central Gulf Coast, where a moist airmass will likely be in place. Thunderstorm development will be possible near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana from Tuesday into Wednesday. On Thursday, thunderstorm development will be possible in parts of the eastern U.S, ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. from Tuesday to Thursday.
On Friday and Saturday, dry and cool air associated with high pressure is forecast to dominate the central and eastern U.S., which will likely limit thunderstorm potential over most of the U.S.
..Broyles.. 11/07/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Saturday, November 7
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Sunday, November 8
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: low
- WIND: low
- Monday, November 9
- ANY SEVERE: low
- Tuesday, November 10
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Wednesday, November 11
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Thursday, November 12
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Friday, November 13
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
- Saturday, November 14
- ANY SEVERE: potential too low
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