Severe Weather Outlook
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National Severe Weather Outlook for the next week
Here you'll find all available severe weather outlooks on one page.
Overview of the threat for the next few days
Outlook for Saturday, May 2
Outlook Summary
Strong to severe storms are possible across southern Georgia into northern/central Florida this morning into the early evening.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado 5%
wind 15%
hail 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 021216
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0716 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 021300Z - 031200Z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FAR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
### SUMMARY
Strong to severe storms are possible across southern Georgia into northern/central Florida this morning into the early evening.
Northern/Central Florida into far southeast Georgia
Regional radar imagery shows a broad area of precipitation extending from the northeast Gulf northeastward through the Carolinas. Thunderstorms are ongoing within the southern portion of this precipitation shield, from the northeast Gulf into central and eastern FL Panhandle. This region is just downstream of a low-amplitude shortwave trough and in the vicinity of an associated surface low. Stronger ascent and modest buoyancy is favoring deeper updrafts across this region compared to areas farther north.
Updrafts in this area have been fairly transient overnight and for the first few hours this morning, likely resulting from a combination of modest buoyancy, boundary-parallel deep-layer shear, and elevated storm structures. Some improvement in storm organization appears possible over the next few hours as the low-level flow strengthens and convergence near the surface low augments large-scale ascent. This better storm organization should result in stronger updrafts and longer overall updraft persistence, with an attendant increase in the risk for damaging gusts. Additionally, there is enough low-level curvature to support a brief tornado or two if surface-based storms can be realized. Surface-based storms appear most probable over the northwest FL vicinity and a small 5% tornado probability was delineated to highlight this potential.
This area was also addressed in recently issued MCD #0635.
..Mosier/Dean.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
Outlook for Sunday, May 3
Outlook Summary
A few strong thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern/central Missouri and central Illinois on Sunday.
Outlook Images
overview
tornado low
wind 5%
hail 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 020501
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1201 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS
### SUMMARY
A few strong thunderstorms are possible across parts of northern/central Missouri and central Illinois on Sunday.
Lower MO/Mid-MS Valleys
Moderate deep-layer northwesterly flow will overspread the region as a series of shortwave impulses migrate through an upper trough oriented over the Midwest and eastern U.S. Temperatures aloft will be quite cold (around -20 C at 500 mb), resulting in steep midlevel lapse rates across the Mid-MS Valley region. At the surface, boundary layer moisture will remain limited in the wake of a prior cold frontal passage, resulting in Gulf moisture remaining well offshore. Most guidance suggests dewpoints in the 50s are possible along a corridor ahead of a weak surface front. While low-level moisture will be limited, steep midlevel lapse rates will foster 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Model guidance remains unclear with regard to convective initiation, but heating into the 70s will allow for an uncapped environment. While deep-layer flow will mostly remain unidirectional, speed shear will support supercell wind profiles with 35+ effective shear magnitudes and elongated hodographs.
While overall storm coverage may remain low, and the risk is conditional, if storms develop, isolated large hail and locally strong gusts will be possible during the afternoon and evening.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
Outlook for Monday, May 4
Outlook Summary
Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Midwest late Monday afternoon into Monday night.
Outlook Images
overview
any severe 5%
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewSPC AC 020626
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0126 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST
### SUMMARY
Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Midwest late Monday afternoon into Monday night.
Eastern KS to OH
A deepening upper trough will develop southward into the Upper Midwest on Monday/Monday night. Stronger height falls will remain confined to the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity, with more modest height falls into the Mid-MS Valley near/after 00z. At the surface, low pressure is forecast to move across Ontario and Quebec, while a trailing cold front develops southward across the Upper MS Valley during the day, and becomes oriented from southern Lower MI to eastern KS by early Tuesday. Gulf moisture return will remain limited, with generally 50s to near 60 F dewpoints expected in a narrow corridor ahead of the cold front. Cool temperatures aloft will support steep lapse rates across the region and MLCAPE around 1000-1500 J/kg is forecast during the afternoon into the nighttime hours from KS into portions of the Mid-MS Valley and eastward into IN/OH/extreme southern Lower MI.
Capping and weak forcing for ascent may limit thunderstorm development across the warm sector through peak heating. However, as a southwesterly low-level jet increases around/after 00z, modest height falls overspread the region, and the surface cold front develops southward toward the corridor of modest boundary layer moisture, isolated to scattered thunderstorms may initiate. Effective shear around 35+ kt will aid in organized storm structures, and isolated large hail and locally strong gusts are possible.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1930Z
Outlook for Tuesday, May 5
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, May 5 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, May 6 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Thursday, May 7 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, May 8 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, May 9 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020755 SPC AC 020755
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Days 4-5/Tue-Wed – Southeast OK/ArkLaTex to Lower MS/TN Valleys
Southwesterly deep-layer flow will increase from the southern Rockies to the Mid-South on Day 4/Tuesday as a southern stream shortwave trough over the Southwest merges with an upper trough over the Plains/Upper Midwest. At the surface, low pressure will develop over the southern Plains and slowly progress east in AR as a cold front develops southeast across OK/AR and the Lower OH Valley. Ahead of the front, rich Gulf moisture will return northward, and 60s to near 70 F dewpoints are forecast by Tuesday afternoon/evening across southeast OK and the ArkLaTex. Timing of thunderstorm development is a bit uncertain as shortwave ridging may overspread the southern Plains vicinity through afternoon. However, forcing for ascent should increase with the approach of the surface front and as a low-level jet increasing Tuesday evening. Moderate instability and strong vertical shear should support severe thunderstorm activity near the cold front from late afternoon into Tuesday night.
On Day 5/Wednesday, the Plains upper trough will migrate east, extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Lower MS Valley by early Thursday. The surface cold front will extend from the OH Valley into north/central TX Wednesday morning and slowly progress southeast through the period. Gulf moisture will return north and east across the southern U.S. ahead of the front. While deep-layer flow will largely be parallel to the surface front, moist and unstable airmass ahead of the front should support some risk for severe thunderstorms.
Days 6-8/Thu-Sat
A deepening surface low will develop northward across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Thursday as a surface cold front continues to shift east across much of the eastern U.S. While a moist airmass will be in place across parts of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic, it is uncertain how much destabilization will occur due to possibly widespread thunderstorm activity and cloud cover (particularly from the Mid-Atlantic northward). Large-scale ascent will become increasingly displaced to the north across the Southeast, and convection may tend to be anafrontal. Trends will be monitored and severe probabilities could become necessary for parts of the eastern U.S. on Thursday in later outlooks.
Severe potential will be limited on Friday as the prior cold frontal passages clears out Gulf moisture and surface high pressure envelops much of the eastern half of the U.S. Weak upper troughing could overspread the Rockies and High Plains by the end of the period, allowing for Gulf moisture return across the Plains and an increase in thunderstorm potential.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Wednesday, May 6
Outlook Images
any severe 15%
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, May 5 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, May 6 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Thursday, May 7 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, May 8 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, May 9 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020755 SPC AC 020755
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Days 4-5/Tue-Wed – Southeast OK/ArkLaTex to Lower MS/TN Valleys
Southwesterly deep-layer flow will increase from the southern Rockies to the Mid-South on Day 4/Tuesday as a southern stream shortwave trough over the Southwest merges with an upper trough over the Plains/Upper Midwest. At the surface, low pressure will develop over the southern Plains and slowly progress east in AR as a cold front develops southeast across OK/AR and the Lower OH Valley. Ahead of the front, rich Gulf moisture will return northward, and 60s to near 70 F dewpoints are forecast by Tuesday afternoon/evening across southeast OK and the ArkLaTex. Timing of thunderstorm development is a bit uncertain as shortwave ridging may overspread the southern Plains vicinity through afternoon. However, forcing for ascent should increase with the approach of the surface front and as a low-level jet increasing Tuesday evening. Moderate instability and strong vertical shear should support severe thunderstorm activity near the cold front from late afternoon into Tuesday night.
On Day 5/Wednesday, the Plains upper trough will migrate east, extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Lower MS Valley by early Thursday. The surface cold front will extend from the OH Valley into north/central TX Wednesday morning and slowly progress southeast through the period. Gulf moisture will return north and east across the southern U.S. ahead of the front. While deep-layer flow will largely be parallel to the surface front, moist and unstable airmass ahead of the front should support some risk for severe thunderstorms.
Days 6-8/Thu-Sat
A deepening surface low will develop northward across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Thursday as a surface cold front continues to shift east across much of the eastern U.S. While a moist airmass will be in place across parts of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic, it is uncertain how much destabilization will occur due to possibly widespread thunderstorm activity and cloud cover (particularly from the Mid-Atlantic northward). Large-scale ascent will become increasingly displaced to the north across the Southeast, and convection may tend to be anafrontal. Trends will be monitored and severe probabilities could become necessary for parts of the eastern U.S. on Thursday in later outlooks.
Severe potential will be limited on Friday as the prior cold frontal passages clears out Gulf moisture and surface high pressure envelops much of the eastern half of the U.S. Weak upper troughing could overspread the Rockies and High Plains by the end of the period, allowing for Gulf moisture return across the Plains and an increase in thunderstorm potential.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Thursday, May 7
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, May 5 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, May 6 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Thursday, May 7 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, May 8 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, May 9 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020755 SPC AC 020755
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Days 4-5/Tue-Wed – Southeast OK/ArkLaTex to Lower MS/TN Valleys
Southwesterly deep-layer flow will increase from the southern Rockies to the Mid-South on Day 4/Tuesday as a southern stream shortwave trough over the Southwest merges with an upper trough over the Plains/Upper Midwest. At the surface, low pressure will develop over the southern Plains and slowly progress east in AR as a cold front develops southeast across OK/AR and the Lower OH Valley. Ahead of the front, rich Gulf moisture will return northward, and 60s to near 70 F dewpoints are forecast by Tuesday afternoon/evening across southeast OK and the ArkLaTex. Timing of thunderstorm development is a bit uncertain as shortwave ridging may overspread the southern Plains vicinity through afternoon. However, forcing for ascent should increase with the approach of the surface front and as a low-level jet increasing Tuesday evening. Moderate instability and strong vertical shear should support severe thunderstorm activity near the cold front from late afternoon into Tuesday night.
On Day 5/Wednesday, the Plains upper trough will migrate east, extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Lower MS Valley by early Thursday. The surface cold front will extend from the OH Valley into north/central TX Wednesday morning and slowly progress southeast through the period. Gulf moisture will return north and east across the southern U.S. ahead of the front. While deep-layer flow will largely be parallel to the surface front, moist and unstable airmass ahead of the front should support some risk for severe thunderstorms.
Days 6-8/Thu-Sat
A deepening surface low will develop northward across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Thursday as a surface cold front continues to shift east across much of the eastern U.S. While a moist airmass will be in place across parts of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic, it is uncertain how much destabilization will occur due to possibly widespread thunderstorm activity and cloud cover (particularly from the Mid-Atlantic northward). Large-scale ascent will become increasingly displaced to the north across the Southeast, and convection may tend to be anafrontal. Trends will be monitored and severe probabilities could become necessary for parts of the eastern U.S. on Thursday in later outlooks.
Severe potential will be limited on Friday as the prior cold frontal passages clears out Gulf moisture and surface high pressure envelops much of the eastern half of the U.S. Weak upper troughing could overspread the Rockies and High Plains by the end of the period, allowing for Gulf moisture return across the Plains and an increase in thunderstorm potential.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Friday, May 8
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, May 5 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, May 6 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Thursday, May 7 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, May 8 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, May 9 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020755 SPC AC 020755
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Days 4-5/Tue-Wed – Southeast OK/ArkLaTex to Lower MS/TN Valleys
Southwesterly deep-layer flow will increase from the southern Rockies to the Mid-South on Day 4/Tuesday as a southern stream shortwave trough over the Southwest merges with an upper trough over the Plains/Upper Midwest. At the surface, low pressure will develop over the southern Plains and slowly progress east in AR as a cold front develops southeast across OK/AR and the Lower OH Valley. Ahead of the front, rich Gulf moisture will return northward, and 60s to near 70 F dewpoints are forecast by Tuesday afternoon/evening across southeast OK and the ArkLaTex. Timing of thunderstorm development is a bit uncertain as shortwave ridging may overspread the southern Plains vicinity through afternoon. However, forcing for ascent should increase with the approach of the surface front and as a low-level jet increasing Tuesday evening. Moderate instability and strong vertical shear should support severe thunderstorm activity near the cold front from late afternoon into Tuesday night.
On Day 5/Wednesday, the Plains upper trough will migrate east, extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Lower MS Valley by early Thursday. The surface cold front will extend from the OH Valley into north/central TX Wednesday morning and slowly progress southeast through the period. Gulf moisture will return north and east across the southern U.S. ahead of the front. While deep-layer flow will largely be parallel to the surface front, moist and unstable airmass ahead of the front should support some risk for severe thunderstorms.
Days 6-8/Thu-Sat
A deepening surface low will develop northward across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Thursday as a surface cold front continues to shift east across much of the eastern U.S. While a moist airmass will be in place across parts of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic, it is uncertain how much destabilization will occur due to possibly widespread thunderstorm activity and cloud cover (particularly from the Mid-Atlantic northward). Large-scale ascent will become increasingly displaced to the north across the Southeast, and convection may tend to be anafrontal. Trends will be monitored and severe probabilities could become necessary for parts of the eastern U.S. on Thursday in later outlooks.
Severe potential will be limited on Friday as the prior cold frontal passages clears out Gulf moisture and surface high pressure envelops much of the eastern half of the U.S. Weak upper troughing could overspread the Rockies and High Plains by the end of the period, allowing for Gulf moisture return across the Plains and an increase in thunderstorm potential.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Outlook for Saturday, May 9
Outlook Images
any severe predictability too low
Note on Medium Range Outlooks
You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.
When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:
- Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
- Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.
If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.
Days Covered in this Outlook
| Day 4 | Tuesday, May 5 | 15% |
| Day 5 | Wednesday, May 6 | 15% |
| Day 6 | Thursday, May 7 | predictability too low |
| Day 7 | Friday, May 8 | predictability too low |
| Day 8 | Saturday, May 9 | predictability too low |
Detailed Outlook
← back to overviewZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 020755 SPC AC 020755
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CDT Sat May 02 2026
Valid 051200Z - 101200Z
DISCUSSION
Days 4-5/Tue-Wed – Southeast OK/ArkLaTex to Lower MS/TN Valleys
Southwesterly deep-layer flow will increase from the southern Rockies to the Mid-South on Day 4/Tuesday as a southern stream shortwave trough over the Southwest merges with an upper trough over the Plains/Upper Midwest. At the surface, low pressure will develop over the southern Plains and slowly progress east in AR as a cold front develops southeast across OK/AR and the Lower OH Valley. Ahead of the front, rich Gulf moisture will return northward, and 60s to near 70 F dewpoints are forecast by Tuesday afternoon/evening across southeast OK and the ArkLaTex. Timing of thunderstorm development is a bit uncertain as shortwave ridging may overspread the southern Plains vicinity through afternoon. However, forcing for ascent should increase with the approach of the surface front and as a low-level jet increasing Tuesday evening. Moderate instability and strong vertical shear should support severe thunderstorm activity near the cold front from late afternoon into Tuesday night.
On Day 5/Wednesday, the Plains upper trough will migrate east, extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Lower MS Valley by early Thursday. The surface cold front will extend from the OH Valley into north/central TX Wednesday morning and slowly progress southeast through the period. Gulf moisture will return north and east across the southern U.S. ahead of the front. While deep-layer flow will largely be parallel to the surface front, moist and unstable airmass ahead of the front should support some risk for severe thunderstorms.
Days 6-8/Thu-Sat
A deepening surface low will develop northward across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Thursday as a surface cold front continues to shift east across much of the eastern U.S. While a moist airmass will be in place across parts of the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic, it is uncertain how much destabilization will occur due to possibly widespread thunderstorm activity and cloud cover (particularly from the Mid-Atlantic northward). Large-scale ascent will become increasingly displaced to the north across the Southeast, and convection may tend to be anafrontal. Trends will be monitored and severe probabilities could become necessary for parts of the eastern U.S. on Thursday in later outlooks.
Severe potential will be limited on Friday as the prior cold frontal passages clears out Gulf moisture and surface high pressure envelops much of the eastern half of the U.S. Weak upper troughing could overspread the Rockies and High Plains by the end of the period, allowing for Gulf moisture return across the Plains and an increase in thunderstorm potential.
..Leitman.. 05/02/2026
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
National Risk Overview
- Saturday, May 2
- TORNADO: 5%
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 15%
- Sunday, May 3
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 5%
- Monday, May 4
- ANY SEVERE: 5%
- Tuesday, May 5
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Wednesday, May 6
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Thursday, May 7
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Friday, May 8
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Saturday, May 9
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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