Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Sunday, January 18

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 161912

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

Southeastern Florida

An amplified midlevel trough will move across the eastern CONUS through Sunday evening. The tail-end of a related cold front will cross the southern FL Peninsula during the afternoon hours. Along/ahead of the front, sufficient boundary-layer moisture and buoyancy will support isolated thunderstorms before the front moves offshore. While moderate deep-layer shear would be sufficient for a strong storm or two along coastal areas of southeastern FL and the Upper Keys, current thinking is that limited buoyancy and quickly veering low-level flow will limit strong-storm potential over land areas.

..Weinman.. 01/16/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z

National Risk Overview

Friday, January 16: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, January 17: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, January 18: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, January 19: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, January 20: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, January 21: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, January 22: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, January 23: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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