Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Saturday, January 17

Outlook Summary

No severe thunderstorms are expected on Saturday.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 161700

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1100 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

No severe thunderstorms are expected on Saturday.

Discussion

A midlevel shortwave trough initially over the central High Plains will move into the base of a larger-scale trough encompassing the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS. In response, a weak surface front and related moisture will move northward into southeastern FL during the overnight and early morning hours. While buoyancy will be limited (especially over land areas), isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the Upper Keys and far southeastern FL. Most guidance depicts the bulk of this activity remaining offshore, and eventual removal of the TSTM area may be warranted if this trend continues.

..Weinman.. 01/16/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

National Risk Overview

Friday, January 16: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Saturday, January 17: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, January 18: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, January 19: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, January 20: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, January 21: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, January 22: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, January 23: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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