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Outlook for Sunday, January 12

Outlook Summary

Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but isolated thunderstorms may occur along parts of the central Gulf Coast tonight.

Outlook Images

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tornado low

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 121935

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2025

Valid 122000Z - 131200Z

NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST

### SUMMARY

Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but isolated thunderstorms may occur along parts of the central Gulf Coast tonight.

20z Update.. No changes are need to the current D1 Convective Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information.

..Thornton/Gleason.. 01/12/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1010 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025/

Synopsis and Discussion

Large-scale upper troughing will persist over much of the CONUS today, with meager low-level moisture limiting thunderstorm potential over a large majority of the country. One exception may be along/near the coast from far southeast LA to the western FL Panhandle vicinity. A weak surface low is forecast to develop across the northwest to north-central Gulf tonight. Increasing low-level moisture and warm advection may support weak MUCAPE and isolated thunderstorm potential across this region through early Monday morning. However, it still appears likely that appreciable surface-based instability and greater thunderstorm chances will remain mostly offshore.

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z

National Risk Overview

Sunday, January 12: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Monday, January 13: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Tuesday, January 14: ANY SEVERE: low
Wednesday, January 15: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Thursday, January 16: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Friday, January 17: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Saturday, January 18: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain
Sunday, January 19: ANY SEVERE: low / uncertain

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