Severe Weather Outlook

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• Saturday, October 10 →

Outlook Summary

Thunderstorms associated with Hurricane Isaias will move inland this evening into the overnight. Rotating cells could be associated with a tornado threat, mainly from the Florida Panhandle northward into southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia.

Outlook Images

overview

tornado 5%

wind low

hail low

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 100058

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026

Valid 100100Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA

### SUMMARY

Thunderstorms associated with Hurricane Isaias will move inland this evening into the overnight. Rotating cells could be associated with a tornado threat, mainly from the Florida Panhandle northward into southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia.

DISCUSSION

The center of Hurricane Isaias is currently near the Florida coast. The primary band of rainfall is north of the Isaias’ center over the western Florida Panhandle. A second rainband extends from the eastern Florida Panhandle southward along the coast of the northwestern Florida Peninsula. Thunderstorms will continue to form within these rainbands and move northward over land this evening. The latest WSR-88D VWPs in the Florida Panhandle have strong low-level shear profiles with large looped hodographs. This will support the development of rotating storms with tornado potential, mainly with cells that remain semi-discrete. The tornado threat is expected to continue through this evening into overnight period, with the threat gradually moving northward into southeast Alabama and southwestern Georgia.

..Broyles.. 10/10/2026

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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

National Risk Overview

Friday, October 9

TORNADO: 5%

HAIL: low

WIND: low

Saturday, October 10

TORNADO: 5%

HAIL: low

WIND: 5%

Sunday, October 11

ANY SEVERE: 5%

Monday, October 12

ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

Tuesday, October 13

ANY SEVERE: 15%

Wednesday, October 14

ANY SEVERE: 15%

Thursday, October 15

ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

Friday, October 16

ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

Your Severe Outlook