Severe Weather Outlook

show me my personal outlook →

Hayley here - Do you like ~~lofi music~~ whatever music Hayley put on and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!

* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

Outlook for Saturday, January 17

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, January 13	potential too low
Day 5	Wednesday, January 14	potential too low
Day 6	Thursday, January 15	potential too low
Day 7	Friday, January 16	potential too low
Day 8	Saturday, January 17	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 100940 SPC AC 100940

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Valid 131200Z - 181200Z

DISCUSSION

A large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to develop across the central and eastern U.S. during the mid-week. This feature is forecast to move eastward toward the Atlantic Seaboard late in the week, as another trough takes its place further west across the Mississippi Valley. In response to the pattern, a large area of high pressure is forecast to settle into the central U.S. on Wednesday and move slowly across the Gulf Coast region on Thursday and Friday. Another large area of high pressure is forecast to move southward into the western and central U.S. by the weekend. As a result, the airmass across most of the continental U.S. during the mid to late week should be cold and relatively dry, suggesting thunderstorm development will be unlikely during the Day 4 to 8 period.

..Broyles.. 01/10/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Saturday, January 10: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, January 11: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Monday, January 12: ANY SEVERE: low
Tuesday, January 13: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, January 14: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, January 15: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, January 16: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, January 17: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

Your Severe Outlook

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.