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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0127 for Northern Arkansas, Far Southern Illinois, Extreme Western Kentucky, Southern Missouri
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • A tornado or two possible

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0127

Locations Affected

  • Northern Arkansas
  • Far Southern Illinois
  • Extreme Western Kentucky
  • Southern Missouri
  • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are currently ongoing, with additional development anticipated across the region this afternoon. Strong buoyancy coupled with moderate deep-layer vertical shear will support organized storm structures capable of large to very large hail. Some bowing linear segments, with an attendant risk for damaging gusts, are possible with time. The tornado threat is expected to remain low, but still non-zero.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • A tornado or two possible
  • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL7
    
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    200 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026
    
    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
    
    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
      Northern Arkansas
      Far Southern Illinois
      Extreme Western Kentucky
      Southern Missouri
    
    * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
      900 PM CDT.
    
    * Primary threats include...
      Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
        inches in diameter possible
      Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
      A tornado or two possible
    
    SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
    currently ongoing, with additional development anticipated across
    the region this afternoon. Strong buoyancy coupled with moderate
    deep-layer vertical shear will support organized storm structures
    capable of large to very large hail. Some bowing linear segments,
    with an attendant risk for damaging gusts, are possible with time.
    The tornado threat is expected to remain low, but still non-zero.
    
    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
    statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northwest
    of Poplar Bluff MO to 40 miles east southeast of Russellville AR.
    For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
    outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.
    
    &&
    
    AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
    27035.
    
    ...Mosier

    National Risk Overview

    Thursday, April 16
    TORNADO: 5%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 15%
    Friday, April 17
    TORNADO: 10%
    HAIL: 30%
    WIND: 45%
    Saturday, April 18
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Sunday, April 19
    ANY SEVERE: potential too low
    Monday, April 20
    ANY SEVERE: potential too low
    Tuesday, April 21
    ANY SEVERE: potential too low
    Wednesday, April 22
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Thursday, April 23
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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