Severe Weather Outlook
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Severe Weather Watches Overview
Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0630 for Southwest Connecticut, Northern Delaware, New Jersey, Southeast New York, Far Southeast Pennsylvania, Coastal Waters
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- Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
- Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
- A tornado or two possible
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0631 for Far Western Connecticut, Far Western Massachusetts, New York, Northeast Pennsylvania, Far Southern Vermont
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- Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
- Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
- A tornado or two possible
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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0630
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
Thunderstorms intensity and coverage is expected to increase across the region this afternoon. Environmental conditions support the potential for strong to severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail. A low-probability tornado risk exists with any more discrete storms as well.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL0 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 630 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 PM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southwest Connecticut Northern Delaware New Jersey Southeast New York Far Southeast Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms intensity and coverage is expected to increase across the region this afternoon. Environmental conditions support the potential for strong to severe storms capable of damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail. A low-probability tornado risk exists with any more discrete storms as well. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northwest of Newark NJ to 35 miles west southwest of Atlantic City NJ. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26020. ...Mosier
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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0631
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
Thunderstorm intensity and coverage is expected to increase this afternoon as shortwave trough and associated cold front approach the region from the west. Environmental conditions support the potential for strong to severe storms, with damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail as the primary hazards. A low-probability risk for a brief tornado exists as well.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL1 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 631 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 150 PM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far Western Connecticut Far Western Massachusetts New York Northeast Pennsylvania Far Southern Vermont * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity and coverage is expected to increase this afternoon as shortwave trough and associated cold front approach the region from the west. Environmental conditions support the potential for strong to severe storms, with damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail as the primary hazards. A low-probability risk for a brief tornado exists as well. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Glens Falls NY to 20 miles west of Monticello NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 630... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Mosier
National Risk Overview
- Thursday, August 27
- TORNADO: 2%
- HAIL: 15%
- WIND: 15%
- Friday, August 28
- TORNADO: low
- HAIL: 5%
- WIND: 5%
- Saturday, August 29
- ANY SEVERE: 5%
- Sunday, August 30
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Monday, August 31
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Tuesday, September 1
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Wednesday, September 2
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Thursday, September 3
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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