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SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0397 for Southwest Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0398 for Eastern Colorado, Western Nebraska, Northeast New Mexico, Western Oklahoma Panhandle, Northwest Texas Panhandle, Eastern Wyoming
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • A tornado or two possible
Tornado Watch #0399 for Southern Illinois, Southwest Indiana, Western Kentucky, Far Southeast Missouri
  • A couple tornadoes possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0400 for Central and Eastern Montana, Western South Dakota, Northeast Wyoming
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0401 for Far Northwest Arkansas, Far Southeast Kansas, Southwest and South Central Missouri, Northern Oklahoma
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0397

Locations Affected

  • Southwest Maine
  • New Hampshire
  • Vermont

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Storms should intensify initially over Vermont, with additional development and movement east-southeastward into New Hampshire and southwest Maine through late afternoon and early evening, with hail and damaging winds as the primary hazards.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 397
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Maine
  New Hampshire
  Vermont

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Storms should intensify initially over Vermont, with
additional development and movement east-southeastward into New
Hampshire and southwest Maine through late afternoon and early
evening, with hail and damaging winds as the primary hazards.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles northwest of
Rutland VT to 15 miles north northeast of Portsmouth NH. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0398

    Locations Affected

  • Eastern Colorado
  • Western Nebraska
  • Northeast New Mexico
  • Western Oklahoma Panhandle
  • Northwest Texas Panhandle
  • Eastern Wyoming

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    At least widely scattered severe storms including a few supercells and multicells are expected regionally, with large hail and damaging winds the primary hazards.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 398
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Western Nebraska
  Northeast New Mexico
  Western Oklahoma Panhandle
  Northwest Texas Panhandle
  Eastern Wyoming

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...At least widely scattered severe storms including a few
supercells and multicells are expected regionally, with large hail
and damaging winds the primary hazards.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Douglas WY to 25 miles south of Clayton NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 397...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Tornado Watch #0399

    Locations Affected

  • Southern Illinois
  • Southwest Indiana
  • Western Kentucky
  • Far Southeast Missouri

    • Tornado Watch Summary

    Air mass has steadily destabilized within a very moist air mass, even as cloud cover has tended to persist. Moderately strong low-level shear associated with a remnant MCV (Mesoscale convective vortex) will potentially pose a tornado risk associated with supercells.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • A couple tornadoes possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible

    • Tornado Watch Details

    SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 399
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Illinois
  Southwest Indiana
  Western Kentucky
  Far Southeast Missouri

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible

SUMMARY...Air mass has steadily destabilized within a very moist air
mass, even as cloud cover has tended to persist. Moderately strong
low-level shear associated with a remnant MCV (Mesoscale convective
vortex) will potentially pose a tornado risk associated with
supercells.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west of Paducah KY to 20
miles south southeast of Owensboro KY. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 397...WW 398...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 26025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0400

    Locations Affected

  • Central and Eastern Montana
  • Western South Dakota
  • Northeast Wyoming

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorms coverage is expected to increase this afternoon and evening as a shortwave trough moves into the region. Environmental conditions support the potential for strong to severe storms, with bowing segments capable of strong gusts as the primary risk. A few instances of large hail are possible as well, particularly across central Montana.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 400
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
430 PM MDT Fri Jun 26 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central and Eastern Montana
  Western South Dakota
  Northeast Wyoming

* Effective this Friday afternoon from 430 PM until Midnight MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms coverage is expected to increase this
afternoon and evening as a shortwave trough moves into the region.
Environmental conditions support the potential for strong to severe
storms, with bowing segments capable of strong gusts as the primary
risk. A few instances of large hail are possible as well,
particularly across central Montana.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles east northeast
of Lewistown MT to 80 miles southeast of Gillette WY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 397...WW 398...WW 399...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Mosier
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0401

    Locations Affected

  • Far Northwest Arkansas
  • Far Southeast Kansas
  • Southwest and South Central Missouri
  • Northern Oklahoma

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorm development is expected to continue along a surface boundary extending across far northern Oklahoma into southwest/south-central Missouri. Strong buoyancy and moderate shear will support occasionally organized storm structures capable of isolated hail and strong downdrafts.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 401
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
555 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far Northwest Arkansas
  Far Southeast Kansas
  Southwest and South Central Missouri
  Northern Oklahoma

* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 555
  PM until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected to continue along a
surface boundary extending across far northern Oklahoma into
southwest/south-central Missouri. Strong buoyancy and moderate shear
will support occasionally organized storm structures capable of
isolated hail and strong downdrafts.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles west southwest
of Alva OK to 40 miles southeast of Fort Leonard Wood MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 397...WW 398...WW
399...WW 400...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27020.

...Mosier

    National Risk Overview

    Friday, June 26
    TORNADO: 5%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 15%
    Saturday, June 27
    TORNADO: 2%
    HAIL: 30%
    WIND: 30%
    Sunday, June 28
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Monday, June 29
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Tuesday, June 30
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Wednesday, July 1
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Thursday, July 2
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Friday, July 3
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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