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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0127 for Northern Arkansas, Far Southern Illinois, Extreme Western Kentucky, Southern Missouri

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0127

Locations Affected

Northern Arkansas

Far Southern Illinois

Extreme Western Kentucky

Southern Missouri

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are currently ongoing, with additional development anticipated across the region this afternoon. Strong buoyancy coupled with moderate deep-layer vertical shear will support organized storm structures capable of large to very large hail. Some bowing linear segments, with an attendant risk for damaging gusts, are possible with time. The tornado threat is expected to remain low, but still non-zero.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Arkansas
  Far Southern Illinois
  Extreme Western Kentucky
  Southern Missouri

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
currently ongoing, with additional development anticipated across
the region this afternoon. Strong buoyancy coupled with moderate
deep-layer vertical shear will support organized storm structures
capable of large to very large hail. Some bowing linear segments,
with an attendant risk for damaging gusts, are possible with time.
The tornado threat is expected to remain low, but still non-zero.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northwest
of Poplar Bluff MO to 40 miles east southeast of Russellville AR.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Mosier

National Risk Overview

Thursday, April 16: TORNADO: 5%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 15%
Friday, April 17: TORNADO: 10%; HAIL: 30%; WIND: 45%
Saturday, April 18: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Sunday, April 19: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, April 20: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, April 21: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, April 22: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, April 23: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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