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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0238 for Southeast Colorado, Southwest Kansas, Northeast New Mexico, Western Oklahoma Panhandle, Northwest Texas Panhandle

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0238

Locations Affected

Southeast Colorado

Southwest Kansas

Northeast New Mexico

Western Oklahoma Panhandle

Northwest Texas Panhandle

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Thunderstorms developing off the higher terrain of northeast New Mexico will build eastward across the watch area through the afternoon and evening. Large hail is the main concern with the strongest cells.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 238
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM CDT Thu May 21 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Colorado
  Southwest Kansas
  Northeast New Mexico
  Western Oklahoma Panhandle
  Northwest Texas Panhandle

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing off the higher terrain of
northeast New Mexico will build eastward across the watch area
through the afternoon and evening.  Large hail is the main concern
with the strongest cells.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northeast of
Lamar CO to 40 miles south southwest of Clayton NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Hart

National Risk Overview

Thursday, May 21: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 5%
Friday, May 22: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 5%
Saturday, May 23: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Sunday, May 24: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, May 25: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Tuesday, May 26: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Wednesday, May 27: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, May 28: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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