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SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Tornado Watch #0415 for Northwest Minnesota, Central and Eastern North Dakota, Northern South Dakota
  • A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  • Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0417 for Northwest Iowa, Central and southwest Minnesota, Extreme northeast Nebraska, Eastern South Dakota
  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0418 for South central into northeast Nebraska
  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90 mph likely
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Tornado Watch #0419 for Central and northern Minnesota
  • A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  • Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Tornado Watch #0415

Locations Affected

  • Northwest Minnesota
  • Central and Eastern North Dakota
  • Northern South Dakota

    • Tornado Watch Summary

    Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop through the afternoon, with multiple rounds in some areas later this afternoon into this evening. Large hail will be a common concern and tornado potential will exist this afternoon, and likely increase/maximize into this evening across eastern North Dakota/far northeast South Dakota into northwest Minnesota near a surface triple point and warm front.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  • Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    • Tornado Watch Details

    SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 415
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Minnesota
  Central and Eastern North Dakota
  Northern South Dakota

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop through the
afternoon, with multiple rounds in some areas later this afternoon
into this evening. Large hail will be a common concern and tornado
potential will exist this afternoon, and likely increase/maximize
into this evening across eastern North Dakota/far northeast South
Dakota into northwest Minnesota near a surface triple point and warm
front.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 130 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Devils Lake
ND to 70 miles east of Mobridge SD. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 414...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0417

    Locations Affected

  • Northwest Iowa
  • Central and southwest Minnesota
  • Extreme northeast Nebraska
  • Eastern South Dakota

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorm development is expected in the next hour or so across eastern South Dakota and far northeast Nebraska, and the storms will subsequently spread east-northeastward into Minnesota. A mix of supercells and line segments will be capable of producing swaths of damaging gusts up to 80 mph, large hail of 1.5-2 inches in diameter, and a tornado or two.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 417
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Iowa
  Central and southwest Minnesota
  Extreme northeast Nebraska
  Eastern South Dakota

* Effective this Monday night from 630 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected in the next hour or
so across eastern South Dakota and far northeast Nebraska, and the
storms will subsequently spread east-northeastward into Minnesota. 
A mix of supercells and line segments will be capable of producing
swaths of damaging gusts up to 80 mph, large hail of 1.5-2 inches in
diameter, and a tornado or two.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northeast
of Alexandria MN to 35 miles east southeast of Yankton SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Thompson
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0418

    Locations Affected

  • South central into northeast Nebraska

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    A mixed mode of severe storms is expected through early tonight, with supercells initially and upscale growth into clusters by late evening. The environment will favor significant severe outflow gusts of 80-90 mph and large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90 mph likely
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 418
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
645 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South central into northeast Nebraska

* Effective this Monday night from 645 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 90
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A mixed mode of severe storms is expected through early
tonight, with supercells initially and upscale growth into clusters
by late evening.  The environment will favor significant severe
outflow gusts of 80-90 mph and large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Sioux City IA to 55 miles south southwest of Kearney NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...WW 417...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Thompson
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Tornado Watch #0419

    Locations Affected

  • Central and northern Minnesota

    • Tornado Watch Summary

    Scattered supercell development is possible this evening along a warm front moving slowly northward in Minnesota. Storms interacting with the warm front will be capable of producing a strong tornado or two and large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter. Late this evening some upscale growth into a line will be possible, with an associated threat for damaging gusts of 60-75 mph and a couple of tornadoes with embedded circulations.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  • Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

    • Tornado Watch Details

    SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 419
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central and northern Minnesota

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 745 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development is possible this evening
along a warm front moving slowly northward in Minnesota.  Storms
interacting with the warm front will be capable of producing a
strong tornado or two and large hail of 1-2 inches in diameter. 
Late this evening some upscale growth into a line will be possible,
with an associated threat for damaging gusts of 60-75 mph and a
couple of tornadoes with embedded circulations.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Bemidji MN
to 40 miles west southwest of Brainerd MN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...WW
417...WW 418...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.

...Thompson

    National Risk Overview

    Monday, June 29
    TORNADO: 10%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 30%
    Tuesday, June 30
    TORNADO: 5%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 15%
    Wednesday, July 1
    ANY SEVERE: 5%
    Thursday, July 2
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Friday, July 3
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Saturday, July 4
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Sunday, July 5
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Monday, July 6
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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