Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0449 for Southwest Iowa, Southeast Nebraska

Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0450 for Western and Central Nebraska

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0451 for Eastern Iowa, Northern Illinois, Northwest Indiana, Lake Michigan

Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0452 for North-Central and Northeast Kansas

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0449

Locations Affected

Southwest Iowa

Southeast Nebraska

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Thunderstorms will continue to develop across southeast Nebraska in a moist and unstable air mass. The strongest cells will pose a risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 449
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Iowa
  Southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop across southeast
Nebraska in a moist and unstable air mass.  The strongest cells will
pose a risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of
Lincoln NE to 25 miles northeast of Shenandoah IA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 445...WW 446...WW
447...WW 448...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Hart

↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0450

Locations Affected

Western and Central Nebraska

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Supercells should pose a threat for large to very large hail this evening, potentially up to 2-2.5 inches in diameter on an isolated basis. Some chance also exists for upscale growth into a bowing cluster this evening. If this occurs, then a greater threat for severe/damaging winds would exist. Peak gusts could reach up to 65-75 mph.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL0

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 450
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western and Central Nebraska

* Effective this Friday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Supercells should pose a threat for large to very large
hail this evening, potentially up to 2-2.5 inches in diameter on an
isolated basis. Some chance also exists for upscale growth into a
bowing cluster this evening. If this occurs, then a greater threat
for severe/damaging winds would exist. Peak gusts could reach up to
65-75 mph.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west of Mullen
NE to 40 miles north northeast of Broken Bow NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 445...WW 446...WW
447...WW 448...WW 449...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.

...Gleason

↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0451

Locations Affected

Eastern Iowa

Northern Illinois

Northwest Indiana

Lake Michigan

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

A cluster of thunderstorms should pose a threat for mainly scattered severe/damaging winds as it tracks east-southeastward this evening into early Saturday morning. Peak gusts may reach up to 60-70 mph. Isolated hail and perhaps a brief tornado or two may also occur with any cells that can move along/near a boundary.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 451
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Iowa
  Northern Illinois
  Northwest Indiana
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 640 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A cluster of thunderstorms should pose a threat for mainly
scattered severe/damaging winds as it tracks east-southeastward this
evening into early Saturday morning. Peak gusts may reach up to
60-70 mph. Isolated hail and perhaps a brief tornado or two may also
occur with any cells that can move along/near a boundary.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Moline IL to Valparaiso IN. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 446...WW 447...WW
448...WW 449...WW 450...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.

...Gleason

↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0452

Locations Affected

North-Central and Northeast Kansas

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Supercells have developed along a boundary this evening, and they should continue to pose a threat for large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter. Scattered severe/damaging winds up to 65-75 mph may occur as thunderstorms develop into one or more bowing clusters while tracking eastward over the next several hours.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 452
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  North-Central and Northeast Kansas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 700 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Supercells have developed along a boundary this evening,
and they should continue to pose a threat for large hail up to 1-2
inches in diameter. Scattered severe/damaging winds up to 65-75 mph
may occur as thunderstorms develop into one or more bowing clusters
while tracking eastward over the next several hours.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west northwest
of Russell KS to 55 miles northeast of Manhattan KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 446...WW 447...WW
448...WW 449...WW 450...WW 451...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Gleason

National Risk Overview

Friday, July 3: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 30%
Saturday, July 4: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 30%
Sunday, July 5: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Monday, July 6: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Tuesday, July 7: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Wednesday, July 8: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, July 9: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Friday, July 10: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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