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SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0441 for Southeast Montana, Western North Dakota, Western South Dakota, Northeast Wyoming
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • A tornado or two possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0442 for Northeast Colorado, Western Kansas, Southwest Nebraska
  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0443 for Northwest Iowa, Southwest Minnesota, Southeast South Dakota
  • Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible
↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0441

Locations Affected

  • Southeast Montana
  • Western North Dakota
  • Western South Dakota
  • Northeast Wyoming

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to develop across the region into this evening, with large hail and severe-caliber winds as the primary hazards.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 441
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM MDT Thu Jul 2 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Montana
  Western North Dakota
  Western South Dakota
  Northeast Wyoming

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
  1100 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
across the region into this evening, with large hail and
severe-caliber winds as the primary hazards.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northeast
of Baker MT to 10 miles south southwest of Rapid City SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 437...WW 438...WW
439...WW 440...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0442

    Locations Affected

  • Northeast Colorado
  • Western Kansas
  • Southwest Nebraska

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Severe storms are expected to increase in multiple corridors across the region, with large hail and damaging winds as the primary hazards, which includes the potential for multiple linear clusters to develop and organize this evening.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 442
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Colorado
  Western Kansas
  Southwest Nebraska

* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight
  CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to increase in multiple
corridors across the region, with large hail and damaging winds as
the primary hazards, which includes the potential for multiple
linear clusters to develop and organize this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles south of Garden
City KS to 50 miles west northwest of Mccook NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 437...WW 438...WW
439...WW 440...WW 441...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0443

    Locations Affected

  • Northwest Iowa
  • Southwest Minnesota
  • Southeast South Dakota

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    A well-organized/fast-moving line of storms will move into southwest Minnesota, with additional development to the south across southeast South Dakota, likely moving into northwest Iowa/southwest Minnesota through tonight.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 443
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Iowa
  Southwest Minnesota
  Southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 610 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A well-organized/fast-moving line of storms will move into
southwest Minnesota, with additional development to the south across
southeast South Dakota, likely moving into northwest Iowa/southwest
Minnesota through tonight.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Redwood Falls MN to 60 miles south southwest of Worthington MN.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 437...WW 438...WW
439...WW 440...WW 441...WW 442...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Guyer

    National Risk Overview

    Thursday, July 2
    TORNADO: 2%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 30%
    Friday, July 3
    TORNADO: 2%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 30%
    Saturday, July 4
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Sunday, July 5
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Monday, July 6
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Tuesday, July 7
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Wednesday, July 8
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Thursday, July 9
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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