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Storms clusters are forming over the Mogollon Rim and the mountains in southeast Arizona, and the storms are expected to spread westward through late evening. The storm environment favors severe outflow gusts of 60-70 mph as the primary threat as storms propagate into the lower deserts, especially where outflow mergers occur. Otherwise, the strongest initial cells could also produce isolated large hail near 1 inch diameter.
SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 487 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 400 PM MDT Sun Jul 12 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and south central Arizona * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Storms clusters are forming over the Mogollon Rim and the mountains in southeast Arizona, and the storms are expected to spread westward through late evening. The storm environment favors severe outflow gusts of 60-70 mph as the primary threat as storms propagate into the lower deserts, especially where outflow mergers occur. Otherwise, the strongest initial cells could also produce isolated large hail near 1 inch diameter. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north of Phoenix AZ to 60 miles south southwest of Tucson AZ. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 485...WW 486... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 08020. ...Thompson
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