Severe Weather Outlook
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Severe Weather Watches Overview
Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0301 for Far Eastern Iowa, Northwest Illinois, Extreme Southeast Minnesota, Wisconsin
-
- Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
- Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
- A tornado or two possible
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0302 for Northern Minnesota
-
- Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
- Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
- A tornado or two possible
- Tornado Watch #0303 for Southern Iowa, Central and Eastern Kansas, Northwest and North-Central Missouri, Extreme Southeast Nebraska
-
- A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
- Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely
- Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0304 for Central and Northeast Illinois, Far Northwest Indiana, Lake Michigan
-
- Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
- Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
- A tornado or two possible
- Tornado Watch #0305 for Southeast Iowa, Far West-Central Illinois, Northeast Missouri
-
- A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
- Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely
- Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0306 for Central and Northern Indiana, Western into Central Lower Michigan, Far Northwest Ohio, Lake Michigan
-
- Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible
- Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
- A tornado or two possible
- Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0307 for Eastern Lower Michigan, Lake Erie, Lake Huron
-
- Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0301
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
Ongoing convective line across far east-central Iowa is forecast to continue northeastward into central/southern Wisconsin, with an attendant threat for damaging gusts. Additional development is anticipated farther north from far southeast Minnesota into northern Wisconsin. Some initially cellular development could produce large hail. Quick transition to a more linear mode is expected here as well, with damaging wind then becoming the primary risk.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 301
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Eastern Iowa
Northwest Illinois
Extreme Southeast Minnesota
Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from NOON until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Ongoing convective line across far east-central Iowa is
forecast to continue northeastward into central/southern Wisconsin,
with an attendant threat for damaging gusts. Additional development
is anticipated farther north from far southeast Minnesota into
northern Wisconsin. Some initially cellular development could
produce large hail. Quick transition to a more linear mode is
expected here as well, with damaging wind then becoming the primary
risk.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles north
northwest of Cedar Rapids IA to 60 miles east southeast of Mosinee
WI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Mosier
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0302
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
Thunderstorm development is expected to increase along and ahead of a cold front moving through northern Minnesota this afternoon. Moderate to strong buoyancy and moderate shear will support the potential for strong updrafts capable of large to isolated very large hail. A few strong gusts are possible as well.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 302
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1250 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected to increase along and
ahead of a cold front moving through northern Minnesota this
afternoon. Moderate to strong buoyancy and moderate shear will
support the potential for strong updrafts capable of large to
isolated very large hail. A few strong gusts are possible as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Detroit Lakes MN to 20 miles east southeast of Hibbing MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Mosier
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Tornado Watch #0303
Locations Affected
Tornado Watch Summary
Thunderstorm development is anticipated this afternoon within the warm and very unstable airmass across the region. Deep-layer shear is strong enough for supercells capable of all hazards, including very large hail to 3" in diameter and tornadoes. A strong tornado (EF2+) is possible. Strong downbursts are anticipated as well, with one or more severe bowing clusters possible as the mode trends more linear with time.
Severe Weather Threats
Tornado Watch Details
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 303
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Iowa
Central and Eastern Kansas
Northwest and North-Central Missouri
Extreme Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 210 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is anticipated this afternoon
within the warm and very unstable airmass across the region.
Deep-layer shear is strong enough for supercells capable of all
hazards, including very large hail to 3" in diameter and tornadoes.
A strong tornado (EF2+) is possible. Strong downbursts are
anticipated as well, with one or more severe bowing clusters
possible as the mode trends more linear with time.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of Manhattan KS to
35 miles south southeast of Ottumwa IA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...WW 302...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...Mosier
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0304
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
Thunderstorm intensity has increased along the southern edge of an organized line moving through southern Wisconsin into central Illinois. Damaging wind gusts and isolated hail are possible with this storms this afternoon and evening.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL4 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 304 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 240 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Northeast Illinois Far Northwest Indiana Lake Michigan * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity has increased along the southern edge of an organized line moving through southern Wisconsin into central Illinois. Damaging wind gusts and isolated hail are possible with this storms this afternoon and evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles south of Decatur IL to 50 miles north northeast of Bloomington IL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...WW 302...WW 303... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27035. ...Mosier
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Tornado Watch #0305
Locations Affected
Tornado Watch Summary
Thunderstorms coverage and intensity is expected to increase across the region this afternoon and evening as a cluster approaching from the west and outflow modifies under strong low-level moisture advection. Supercells capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail and tornadoes, are possible. Strong to severe downbursts are possible as well, particularly if the upstream cluster grows upscale.
Severe Weather Threats
Tornado Watch Details
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 305
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Iowa
Far West-Central Illinois
Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 400 PM
until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms coverage and intensity is expected to
increase across the region this afternoon and evening as a cluster
approaching from the west and outflow modifies under strong
low-level moisture advection. Supercells capable of all severe
hazards, including very large hail and tornadoes, are possible.
Strong to severe downbursts are possible as well, particularly if
the upstream cluster grows upscale.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Moline IL to 60
miles south southwest of Quincy IL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...WW 302...WW
303...WW 304...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Mosier
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0306
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
An extensive squall line will continue east into the Watch area with the primary severe hazard being severe gusts and wind damage. Severe gusts within the more intense portions of the squall line will generally range 60 to 70 mph but localized gusts up to 80 mph are possible. A brief tornado is possible with any stronger mesovortex that could develop within the squall line.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 306
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northern Indiana
Western into Central Lower Michigan
Far Northwest Ohio
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 540 PM
until 1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An extensive squall line will continue east into the Watch
area with the primary severe hazard being severe gusts and wind
damage. Severe gusts within the more intense portions of the squall
line will generally range 60 to 70 mph but localized gusts up to 80
mph are possible. A brief tornado is possible with any stronger
mesovortex that could develop within the squall line.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Manistee MI to 45 miles east southeast of Lafayette IN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...WW 302...WW
303...WW 304...WW 305...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25040.
...Smith
↑ back to the list of watches ↑
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0307
Locations Affected
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary
A squall line with embedded cells will continue east into the Watch area this evening. The primary hazard with the more intense portions of the squall line will be damaging gusts ranging 50-60 mph.
Severe Weather Threats
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details
SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 307 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 740 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Lower Michigan Lake Erie Lake Huron * Effective this Wednesday night from 740 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible SUMMARY...A squall line with embedded cells will continue east into the Watch area this evening. The primary hazard with the more intense portions of the squall line will be damaging gusts ranging 50-60 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Bad Axe MI to 30 miles south southwest of Detroit MI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...WW 302...WW 303...WW 304...WW 305...WW 306... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 24040. ...Smith
National Risk Overview
- Wednesday, June 10
- TORNADO: 10%
- HAIL: 30%
- WIND: 30%
- Thursday, June 11
- TORNADO: 10%
- HAIL: 15%
- WIND: 30%
- Friday, June 12
- ANY SEVERE: 30%
- Saturday, June 13
- ANY SEVERE: 15%
- Sunday, June 14
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Monday, June 15
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Tuesday, June 16
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
- Wednesday, June 17
- ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
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