Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0323 for Southeast Colorado, Southwest and South-Central Kansas, Northeast New Mexico, Northwest Oklahoma and the Oklahoma Panhandle, The Northern Texas Panhandle

Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0323

Locations Affected

Southeast Colorado

Southwest and South-Central Kansas

Northeast New Mexico

Northwest Oklahoma and the Oklahoma Panhandle

The Northern Texas Panhandle

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Initial supercells should pose some threat for large hail generally 1-2 inches in diameter late this afternoon, before an increasing threat for scattered severe/damaging winds develops this evening when a bowing cluster forms. This activity will likely spread eastward across the south-central Plains through early Saturday morning, with peak gusts potentially reaching up to 70-80 mph.

Severe Weather Threats

Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible

Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible

A tornado or two possible

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 323
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM CDT Fri Jun 12 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Colorado
  Southwest and South-Central Kansas
  Northeast New Mexico
  Northwest Oklahoma and the Oklahoma Panhandle
  The Northern Texas Panhandle

* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 540
  PM until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Initial supercells should pose some threat for large hail
generally 1-2 inches in diameter late this afternoon, before an
increasing threat for scattered severe/damaging winds develops this
evening when a bowing cluster forms. This activity will likely
spread eastward across the south-central Plains through early
Saturday morning, with peak gusts potentially reaching up to 70-80
mph.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south
southwest of Trinidad CO to 30 miles north of Alva OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Gleason

National Risk Overview

Friday, June 12: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 15%
Saturday, June 13: TORNADO: 5%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 30%
Sunday, June 14: ANY SEVERE: 15%
Monday, June 15: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Tuesday, June 16: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Wednesday, June 17: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, June 18: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Friday, June 19: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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