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SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

Severe Weather Outlook

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Severe Weather Watches Overview

Watch data currently updates every 15 minutes.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0432 for Northeast New York, Vermont
  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0433 for Western Kansas, The central and eastern Oklahoma Panhandle, The north central and northeast Texas Panhandle
  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0434 for North central and northeast Iowa, South central and southeast Minnesota, West central Wisconsin
  • Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0435 for Northwest Iowa, Extreme southwest Minnesota, Central into northeast Nebraska, Extreme southeast South Dakota
  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible
↑ back to the list of watches ↑

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0432

Locations Affected

  • Northeast New York
  • Vermont

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Clusters of storms will continue to southeastward across the region through this evening, with damaging winds and some hail as the primary hazards.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 432
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast New York
  Vermont

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 455 PM
  until 1100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to southeastward across
the region through this evening, with damaging winds and some hail
as the primary hazards.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles south southeast
of Glens Falls NY to 10 miles east northeast of Massena NY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 430...WW 431...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31025.

...Guyer
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0433

    Locations Affected

  • Western Kansas
  • The central and eastern Oklahoma Panhandle
  • The north central and northeast Texas Panhandle

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorm development is expected late this afternoon from extreme southeast Colorado into western Kansas, and additional storms to the south in the Texas Panhandle may also expand northeastward. The storm environment will favor severe outflow gusts of 60-75 mph as the main threat with storm clusters through late evening, while the strongest storms could also produce isolated large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 433
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Kansas
  The central and eastern Oklahoma Panhandle
  The north central and northeast Texas Panhandle

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 515 PM
  until 1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected late this afternoon
from extreme southeast Colorado into western Kansas, and additional
storms to the south in the Texas Panhandle may also expand
northeastward.  The storm environment will favor severe outflow
gusts of 60-75 mph as the main threat with storm clusters through
late evening, while the strongest storms could also produce isolated
large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles west northwest
of Hill City KS to 60 miles south southeast of Guymon OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 430...WW 431...WW 432...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24015.

...Thompson
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0434

    Locations Affected

  • North central and northeast Iowa
  • South central and southeast Minnesota
  • West central Wisconsin

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorm development is expected this evening across southern Minnesota and northern IA into west central Wisconsin. The storm environment will favor a mix of cells and clusters, with a few supercells possible initially. Supercells will be capable of producing large hail up to 2 inches in diameter, while damaging winds (60-75 mph) will be the main concern with the storm clusters spreading eastward through early tonight. An isolated tornado or two could occur with favorable storm interactions.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 434
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  North central and northeast Iowa
  South central and southeast Minnesota
  West central Wisconsin

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 650 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected this evening across
southern Minnesota and northern IA into west central Wisconsin.  The
storm environment will favor a mix of cells and clusters, with a few
supercells possible initially.  Supercells will be capable of
producing large hail up to 2 inches in diameter, while damaging
winds (60-75 mph) will be the main concern with the storm clusters
spreading eastward through early tonight.  An isolated tornado or
two could occur with favorable storm interactions.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of
Fairmont MN to 60 miles east southeast of Eau Claire WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 430...WW 431...WW
432...WW 433...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Thompson
    ↑ back to the list of watches ↑

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch #0435

    Locations Affected

  • Northwest Iowa
  • Extreme southwest Minnesota
  • Central into northeast Nebraska
  • Extreme southeast South Dakota

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

    Thunderstorm development is expected late this evening from south central/central Nebraska into northwest Iowa. The environment favors supercells initially with isolated very large hail up to 2 inches in diameter. Storms are also expected to grow into a cluster or two, especially in Nebraska, with an increase in the threat for severe outflow gusts of 60-75 mph through early tonight. An isolated tornado or two could occur with favorable storm interactions.

    Severe Weather Threats

  • Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible
  • Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  • A tornado or two possible

    • Severe Thunderstorm Watch Details

    SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 435
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Iowa
  Extreme southwest Minnesota
  Central into northeast Nebraska
  Extreme southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 735 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected late this evening
from south central/central Nebraska into northwest Iowa.  The
environment favors supercells initially with isolated very large
hail up to 2 inches in diameter.  Storms are also expected to grow
into a cluster or two, especially in Nebraska, with an increase in
the threat for severe outflow gusts of 60-75 mph through early
tonight.  An isolated tornado or two could occur with favorable
storm interactions.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles south
southwest of Broken Bow NE to 15 miles east northeast of Spencer IA.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 430...WW 431...WW
432...WW 433...WW 434...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
25020.

...Thompson

    National Risk Overview

    Wednesday, July 1
    TORNADO: 5%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 30%
    Thursday, July 2
    TORNADO: 2%
    HAIL: 15%
    WIND: 15%
    Friday, July 3
    ANY SEVERE: 15%
    Saturday, July 4
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Sunday, July 5
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Monday, July 6
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Tuesday, July 7
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
    Wednesday, July 8
    ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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