Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Sunday, November 1

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Sunday, November 1

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Wednesday, October 28	potential too low
Day 5	Thursday, October 29	potential too low
Day 6	Friday, October 30	potential too low
Day 7	Saturday, October 31	potential too low
Day 8	Sunday, November 1	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 250717 SPC AC 250717

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0217 AM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

DISCUSSION

Generally broad, modest southwesterly mid/upper flow within a lower amplitude upper pattern will overspread much of the central/eastern CONUS through Day 6 or 7/Fri or Sat. Southerly low-level flow will be maintained across the Plains to the MS Valley during this time, supporting increasing boundary layer moisture. Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible, but modest instability and weak vertical shear will preclude severe potential.

..Leitman.. 10/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Sunday, October 25: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 5%
Monday, October 26: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Tuesday, October 27: ANY SEVERE: low
Wednesday, October 28: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, October 29: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, October 30: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, October 31: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, November 1: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

Your Severe Outlook

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