Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Saturday, September 26

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Saturday, September 26

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, September 22	potential too low
Day 5	Wednesday, September 23	potential too low
Day 6	Thursday, September 24	potential too low
Day 7	Friday, September 25	potential too low
Day 8	Saturday, September 26	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 190824 SPC AC 190824

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0324 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Valid 221200Z - 271200Z

DISCUSSION

An initially zonal mid-level flow regime will gradually transition to a more amplified upper-air pattern, characterized by ridging over the Plains states through the week into next weekend. As this occurs, low-level moisture will continue to be shunted southward as cooler mid-level temperatures remain relatively confined west of the Rockies, and flow aloft remains modest at best. As a result, there are no clear signals for an organized threat of severe thunderstorms across the CONUS for Days 4-8 (Tuesday-Saturday).

..Squitieri.. 09/19/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Saturday, September 19: TORNADO: low; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 15%
Sunday, September 20: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 15%
Monday, September 21: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Tuesday, September 22: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, September 23: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, September 24: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, September 25: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, September 26: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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