Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Sunday, November 8

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Sunday, November 8

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Wednesday, November 4	predictability too low
Day 5	Thursday, November 5	potential too low
Day 6	Friday, November 6	potential too low
Day 7	Saturday, November 7	potential too low
Day 8	Sunday, November 8	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 010931 SPC AC 010931

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0331 AM CST Sun Nov 01 2026

Valid 041200Z - 091200Z

DISCUSSION

An upper trough will move from the MS Valley toward the OH Valley and Great Lakes on Wed/D4, with a secondary trough moving across the Four Corners and into the Southern Plains. An occluded surface low will also move across the upper Great Lakes, with a cold front moving across the OH/TN Valleys and toward the Appalachians. While low-level moisture will support rain and thunderstorms along this front, the lifting of the upper system and weak instability will result in decreasing severe risk. This weakening trend should continue into Thu/D5 as the front moves across the Mid Atlantic and off the East Coast. Behind these systems, the pattern will favor high pressure and minimal chances of thunderstorms.

..Jewell.. 11/01/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Sunday, November 1: TORNADO: 5%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 15%
Monday, November 2: TORNADO: 5%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 15%
Tuesday, November 3: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Wednesday, November 4: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Thursday, November 5: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, November 6: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, November 7: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, November 8: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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