Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Tuesday, November 10

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Tuesday, November 10

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Friday, November 6	predictability too low
Day 5	Saturday, November 7	potential too low
Day 6	Sunday, November 8	potential too low
Day 7	Monday, November 9	potential too low
Day 8	Tuesday, November 10	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 030910 SPC AC 030910

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 AM CST Tue Nov 03 2026

Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

DISCUSSION

On Fri/D4, a positive-tilt upper trough is forecast to move across the Appalachians, with a 50+ kt midlevel speed max moving into the Mid Atlantic. At least mid 60s F dewpoints will already be in place from GA into the Carolinas and eastern VA ahead of a developing cold front, which will likely lead to weak destabilization. Indications are that scattered rain and thunderstorms may be ongoing early in the day from the Savannah River to the DelMarVa, which will limit further destabilization. Moderate deep-layer shear along with sufficient instability could aid at least a low-end wind potential.

From Sat/D5 through Tue/D8, high pressure is forecast to spread across most of the CONUS, shunting any appreciable moisture and instability offshore.

..Jewell.. 11/03/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Tuesday, November 3: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: low; WIND: 5%
Wednesday, November 4: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Thursday, November 5: ANY SEVERE: low
Friday, November 6: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Saturday, November 7: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, November 8: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, November 9: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, November 10: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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