Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Wednesday, November 11

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Wednesday, November 11

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Saturday, November 7	potential too low
Day 5	Sunday, November 8	potential too low
Day 6	Monday, November 9	potential too low
Day 7	Tuesday, November 10	potential too low
Day 8	Wednesday, November 11	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 040918 SPC AC 040918

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0318 AM CST Wed Nov 04 2026

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

DISCUSSION

For the Sat/D4 through Wed/D8 period, thunderstorm potential will be minimal across the U.S. due to a lack of instability. An upper trough will exit the eastern U.S. on Sat/D4, with high pressure over most of the CONUS. Multiple shortwave troughs are forecast to dig southeastward across eastern Canada and into the northeastern states, maintaining a cool and stable pattern. Any appreciable instability will remain offshore, with little if any severe potential expected.

..Jewell.. 11/04/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Wednesday, November 4: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: low; WIND: 5%
Thursday, November 5: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Friday, November 6: ANY SEVERE: low
Saturday, November 7: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Sunday, November 8: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Monday, November 9: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, November 10: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, November 11: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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