Severe Weather Outlook

Hayley here - Do you want to see severe weather in your calendar?

* it's like an add-on for your digital calendar NOT a paper calendar

Outlook for Friday, November 13

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Friday, November 13

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Monday, November 9	potential too low
Day 5	Tuesday, November 10	potential too low
Day 6	Wednesday, November 11	potential too low
Day 7	Thursday, November 12	potential too low
Day 8	Friday, November 13	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 060747 SPC AC 060747

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Fri Nov 06 2026

Valid 091200Z - 141200Z

DISCUSSION

Early next week, west-northwesterly flow is forecast over much of the northern U.S., while an upper-level trough is forecast to move across the south-central states. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of this weakening trough along the western Gulf Coast on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday, thunderstorms will be possible along the coast of Louisiana. From Wednesday into Thursday, a large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to dig southeastward into the east-central U.S. This will help usher cool and dry air southward across the U.S, limiting moisture return from the Gulf. As a result, thunderstorm potential appears to be low late in the Day 4 to 8 period.

..Broyles.. 11/06/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Friday, November 6: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: low; WIND: 5%
Saturday, November 7: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, November 8: ANY SEVERE: low
Monday, November 9: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Tuesday, November 10: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, November 11: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, November 12: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, November 13: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

Your Severe Outlook

Center after dragging

Off Near edge Always

Map loads as you approach it.

Hey, it looks like your location wasn't detected.

Drag the marker on the map and we'll show you the severe weather potential for a given location.

Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help out and you're already planning on buying something off of Amazon, why not use our Amazon Severe Weather Outlook link before you buy and we'll get a tiny portion of your purchase.

Severe Weather Outlook Amazon link →

About Severe Weather Outlook . com

SWO started as a spinoff project of wickedwx, but has since replaced the site.