Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Saturday, November 14

Outlook Images

any severe potential too low

any severe severe weather outlook for Saturday, November 14

Note on Medium Range Outlooks

You are looking at an outlook that is part of the medium range forecast (the outlook for days 4-8). The most important thing to note is that lack of a risk does not mean zero risk. Generally speaking, confidence has to be pretty high for the Storm Prediction Center to have an outlook area this far into the future.

When no specific risk areas are shown, you might see one of these phrases:

Predictability Too Low: This means that severe storms might be possible, but forecasters aren't confident enough about where or when they might occur. Think of it as the models showing different possibilities, like pieces of a puzzle that haven't come together yet.
Potential Too Low: This means forecasters are fairly confident that widespread severe weather is NOT expected on that day. While isolated storms might still occur, the chance of reaching severe criteria across any given area is very low.

If you bookmark this page, it will continue to update with each new outlook that is issued.

Days Covered in this Outlook

Day 4	Tuesday, November 10	potential too low
Day 5	Wednesday, November 11	potential too low
Day 6	Thursday, November 12	potential too low
Day 7	Friday, November 13	potential too low
Day 8	Saturday, November 14	potential too low

Detailed Outlook

ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL ACUS48 KWNS 070938 SPC AC 070938

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

DISCUSSION

During the mid-week, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to move across the western and central Gulf Coast, where a moist airmass will likely be in place. Thunderstorm development will be possible near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana from Tuesday into Wednesday. On Thursday, thunderstorm development will be possible in parts of the eastern U.S, ahead of a deepening upper-level trough. No severe threat is expected across the continental U.S. from Tuesday to Thursday.

On Friday and Saturday, dry and cool air associated with high pressure is forecast to dominate the central and eastern U.S., which will likely limit thunderstorm potential over most of the U.S.

..Broyles.. 11/07/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

National Risk Overview

Saturday, November 7: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Sunday, November 8: TORNADO: low; HAIL: low; WIND: low
Monday, November 9: ANY SEVERE: low
Tuesday, November 10: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Wednesday, November 11: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Thursday, November 12: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Friday, November 13: ANY SEVERE: potential too low
Saturday, November 14: ANY SEVERE: potential too low

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